A1-V3R300
v3 first mcap<200k, reserve>=14 ETH and >=150 buys at +300s · paper, $10 a trade, since 11 Oct · idea #1472 · updated 14 Oct 07:50 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: ONE slot with r300 (same 21 pools; r300 carries exit arms B/tp5). Count n once; audit 13 Oct n20 tp10 1.67x unverified; re-audit at n40 (sellability, outside sellers open)
Still open:
- sellability, outside sellers, hand rebuild, fwd n40
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: tp10 mean < 1.3x over 20 closed or streak >=30. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
+$74.68
Trades done
26
4 up, 22 down
Best trade
9.7x
Exit rule shown
tp10
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule tp10, numbered in time order.
Other exit rules on the same coins
| Rule | Trades | Mean | 2x+ | 10x+ | Losers | P&L at $10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tp10 | 26 | 1.29x | 4 | 0 | 22 | +$74.68 |
| tp5 | 26 | 1.27x | 7 | 0 | 19 | +$70.68 |
| tp10sl3 | 27 | 0.77x | 2 | 0 | 25 | -$62.80 |
Every trade (exit rule tp10)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0x9840c63f001db631916dd73cc412e54b1579056e | 14 Oct 02:42 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 25 | 0x04f7a114ccfb0a820e1fc82d9a1754c11a1fa341 | 14 Oct 02:28 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 24 | 0xbe0cb2e009829103bd128a9cb5571718a1737cff | 14 Oct 00:48 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.9%) -$9.99 |
| 23 | 0x97267b531e92c01cd1626ef21057028408d091a2 | 14 Oct 00:08 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.9%) -$9.99 |
| 22 | 0xf5bfcb4a9156137c6dc5a7043aefc356417ebfc4 | 13 Oct 22:52 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 21 | 0x64570caafa9bcda5b8bf6816a60931b4d3beee61 | 13 Oct 22:20 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 20 | 0xcdb20dba7ef03f4a6876de57d507310f6c242e72 | 13 Oct 11:50 | $10 | time | 0.01x (-99.1%) -$9.91 |
| 19 | 0xafdfe59e5698134c3a399c90fe3b55fe17aaa925 | 13 Oct 00:31 | $10 | time | 3.93x (+293.1%) +$29.31 |
| 18 | 0x17579f70b6f7b54db0764b344f63e6296588e838 | 13 Oct 00:06 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.8%) -$9.98 |
| 17 | 0x893bfab2af0c4f0fa900a7cdb82cad9097130687 | 12 Oct 23:49 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 16 | 0x27d4f7df079eef5c803f5d8befca1e037d708947 | 12 Oct 19:10 | $10 | time | 0.39x (-60.6%) -$6.06 |
| 15 | 0x9b3554e6c26e06ebe55a7aec4e86e486379c5f6b | 12 Oct 18:56 | $10 | tp | 9.70x (+870.2%) +$87.02 |
| 14 | 0x00bb17df8548095b2eb77ceab9ccfdff916352be | 12 Oct 18:54 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 13 | 0xcac1414eac15af7a6a5fcc8bd578cbed0f9a4d15 | 12 Oct 17:55 | $10 | tp | 9.70x (+870.2%) +$87.02 |
| 12 | 0xc413db014066964952a9c20aa760ef806073e195 | 12 Oct 17:21 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.7%) -$9.97 |
| 11 | 0xa38e5f7ced70829d987df173d714d66da90c5c61 | 12 Oct 17:15 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.7%) -$9.97 |
| 10 | 0x05f8cb3e5dad85c6acc57bc0c8ff5f44b78ad408 | 12 Oct 17:00 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 9 | 0x336efc6d509c89c700ff4dbe15828dd83d987a63 | 12 Oct 16:06 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 8 | 0x0504f58b517948745eba7ece065599e062219ed4 | 12 Oct 15:52 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.7%) -$9.97 |
| 7 | 0x48094f719a58656eec31291e6a0652142c3113aa | 12 Oct 15:51 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.7%) -$9.97 |
| 6 | 0x449a7e471ebfd47b4f42dad307f40a66e2019f8d | 12 Oct 13:06 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.7%) -$9.97 |
| 5 | 0x430251e2e5db816a1ccfc9db708347060fc6cb1a | 12 Oct 09:21 | $10 | tp | 9.70x (+870.2%) +$87.02 |
| 4 | 0xafdcfbaee898665914814d63f2719fef908356cb | 12 Oct 08:32 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.7%) -$9.97 |
| 3 | 0x2912e6522efa87605aa38c2985a7a62cfd422929 | 12 Oct 08:17 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.7%) -$9.97 |
| 2 | 0xa20e64ecf8b0e7581e526e023e61d8bc889d4229 | 12 Oct 03:44 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 1 | 0xa84da3db805362edfb3f6154097b3af92984a772 | 12 Oct 03:40 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.7%) -$9.97 |
Full Test Manager report
# A1-V3R300 forward paper test (Test Manager, #1472) - 14 Oct 00:50 UTC
Rule (fw/a1-1463.md): v3 fee-100 WETH pool, first mcap < 200k, at first swap +300 s reserve >= 14 ETH and >= 150 buys; entry +303 s, 1.5% cost per side, exit tp / 6 h, pull = 0. Replay n=27: P1M 85%, tp10 no-SL mean 2.63x (before fees, in-sample). Forward from 11 Oct ~09:00 UTC+7 (v3live.db), ~4 entries/day expected.
- Pools passing: 28; waiting 0; open legs 5; skipped {'reserve<14': 549, 'first mcap>=200k': 8, 'buys<150': 8}
- tp10 no stop (A1 ask): n 26, mean 1.29x, median 0.00, <1x 22, pulled 9
- tp5 no stop: n 26, mean 1.27x, median 0.00, <1x 19, pulled 9
- tp10 stop 0.3: n 27, mean 0.77x, median 0.29, <1x 25, pulled 1
- Longest loss streak tp10: 7. Kill: tp10 mean < 1.3x over 20 closed or streak >= 30. Hit rate ~10% would be normal for streaks, but this rule claims 85% reach 1M.
- Caveat: stop fills at the stop price (no gap), pulls partially visible only via liq events. Only Ben switches live (D-030).