V3 ramp kit (cap@300 1-4M, first<15k)
Analyst 2 · trail vs tp · paper, $10 a trade, since 15 Oct · idea #578 · updated 17 Oct 08:00 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: forward only from 15 Oct 08:35 BKK; flow ~1.4/day; decide by 19 Oct
Still open:
- auditor 5-check
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: trail mean <1.0 at n20. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
-$131.15
Trades done
17
0 up, 17 down
Best trade
0.3x
Exit rule shown
trail
stop .3, 50% trail after 2x
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule trail, numbered in time order.
Other exit rules on the same coins
| Rule | Trades | Mean | 2x+ | 10x+ | Losers | P&L at $10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| trail stop .3, 50% trail after 2x | 17 | 0.23x | 0 | 0 | 17 | -$131.15 |
| tp5 tp5 sl.3 | 17 | 0.23x | 0 | 0 | 17 | -$131.15 |
| tp10 tp10 sl.3 | 17 | 0.23x | 0 | 0 | 17 | -$131.15 |
Every trade (exit rule trail)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0x4d7e5fa7615202674780ceb4d4b0733c1cee1d83 | 17 Oct 07:24 | $10 | stop | 0.26x (-74.1%) -$7.41 |
| 16 | 0xaba6be9d2657d1d81191f5a2798cb20bee82f6fe | 17 Oct 06:57 | $10 | stop | 0.26x (-74.1%) -$7.41 |
| 15 | 0xb766f13aac99589cd705f879603fa6082be2d520 | 17 Oct 04:00 | $10 | stop | 0.26x (-74.1%) -$7.41 |
| 14 | 0x9664048ab6edfb0d3b1e8bbcce1338d06e4c562b | 17 Oct 03:27 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 13 | 0x71423da3f5038ca8b81e7609546306964ef8bb84 | 17 Oct 02:38 | $10 | stop | 0.26x (-74.1%) -$7.41 |
| 12 | 0x566ecd3a2ce18e92af34bd5c905a05b5ae65f4a4 | 17 Oct 02:08 | $10 | stop | 0.26x (-74.1%) -$7.41 |
| 11 | 0x116b18cabde1fc2f91c268422c12ed33aa2d4eac | 17 Oct 01:40 | $10 | stop | 0.26x (-74.1%) -$7.41 |
| 10 | 0xf1f51aaa4a2d6d246e7e10ccac074e9d88664203 | 16 Oct 20:57 | $10 | stop | 0.26x (-74.1%) -$7.41 |
| 9 | 0x54ebad0e1e85aa185c8c64615c99b88d18aac767 | 16 Oct 06:04 | $10 | stop | 0.26x (-74.1%) -$7.41 |
| 8 | 0xb0c18e2b1fd297c44a8a2ecb1059ed61afa68799 | 15 Oct 16:04 | $10 | stop | 0.26x (-74.1%) -$7.41 |
| 7 | 0x37034b276aaeee34f5954947ff8522f80a8c4d31 | 15 Oct 15:25 | $10 | stop | 0.26x (-74.1%) -$7.41 |
| 6 | 0x325a3d9aa924dd8f17316f691e3981b16793df4f | 15 Oct 15:09 | $10 | stop | 0.26x (-74.1%) -$7.41 |
| 5 | 0x2acc09da3732576d003ba7fedf460e60ab4ce1dc | 15 Oct 14:43 | $10 | stop | 0.26x (-74.1%) -$7.41 |
| 4 | 0xcf3be00bc6834e9e197fe617e3f7a73f7c2561c8 | 15 Oct 14:28 | $10 | stop | 0.26x (-74.1%) -$7.41 |
| 3 | 0xdfd01c2cd6eadedb3e32322ed7f021b44c43d130 | 15 Oct 13:30 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 2 | 0x6ed0981c06ad922fded0bf682b1eb12eefd23fd4 | 15 Oct 13:08 | $10 | stop | 0.26x (-74.1%) -$7.41 |
| 1 | 0xe933d4744dc88ef1f867fb0ec1cb5c37e928624d | 15 Oct 11:38 | $10 | stop | 0.26x (-74.1%) -$7.41 |
Full Test Manager report
# V3RAMP forward paper test (testmgr, #2485 / analyst2 idea #578) - 17 Oct 01:00 UTC
Rule: v3 pool, first-swap cap <15k, cap at first+300 s 1-4M, pool ETH >=1 at +305 s print -> buy, 7% slip each way, pull = 0, hold max 72 h. Replay n=11 (8 days): trail+stop0.3 mean 3.48, tp5 2.30, tp10 2.82 (4 outliers; flow ~1.4/day; not verified).
- Pools passing: 17; waiting 0; open legs 0; skipped {'cap@300 out of band': 353, 'first cap >=15k': 84}
- trail (stop .3, 50% trail after 2x, MAIN): n 17, mean 0.23x, median 0.26, <1x 17, pulled 2
- tp5 sl.3: n 17, mean 0.23x, median 0.26, <1x 17, pulled 2
- tp10 sl.3: n 17, mean 0.23x, median 0.26, <1x 17, pulled 2
- Kill: trail mean <1.0 at n20. Only Ben switches live (D-030).