{"id": "v3ride", "name": "V3 1M ride", "sub": "Analyst 1 \u00b7 buy first $1M cap, age<120 m, tp5 sl.3", "idea": "#67", "status": "running", "since": "16 Oct", "main_arm": "ALL", "kill": "mean <1.0x after 30 closed", "arm_col": "arm", "verified": false, "checks": ["KILL: ALL n60 ex-top2 0.87 (rule <1.0 at n60)"], "kind_label": null, "group": null, "verify_link": "http://159.223.88.168/hx-c9ois/fw/audit-v3ride-18oct.md", "hunt": {"entry": "first print >=1M, age<120 min", "cap_in": "1M-1.5M", "target": "3M-5M"}, "blocker": "Re-run 16 Oct (#2595 test floor): own tape replay+forward; ride $1M cap to 5x; decide 20 Oct", "expected_per_day": 3, "kind": "paper", "updated": 1792270886.6030197, "replay": {"n": 0, "mean_x": null, "pnl_usd": 0}, "trades_rows": [{"pool": "0x4d8b2411255580b19a0b9fc90ed36ee15e7e1af5", "entry_t": "1791269072", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.28", "cap_buy_usd": "1021575", "age_min": "23", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x4fdcc31f5514644bf512b296057f025ddd4f9308", "entry_t": "1791280004", "why": "tp", "net_x": "4.706", "cap_buy_usd": "833628", "age_min": "27", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x206211d456a3a9dbe45e13507aac5131ace9c716", "entry_t": "1791288250", "why": "tp", "net_x": "4.706", "cap_buy_usd": "1044846", "age_min": "5", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x8da021f34c2f2a95696c4fd842b0cd0cc4e18468", "entry_t": "1791305114", "why": "tp", "net_x": "4.706", "cap_buy_usd": "1034051", "age_min": "10", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xddefc8467c9b77e3f2c1525e0cb0f453e4408fc0", "entry_t": "1791339577", "why": "time", "net_x": "0.894", "cap_buy_usd": "1010917", "age_min": "62", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x86303aff9563213a7c5f877bbe15eacde98d7c50", "entry_t": "1791355125", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.281", "cap_buy_usd": "1186717", "age_min": "19", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x644eac7020466c554369e0592637f24dd95fbb13", "entry_t": "1791361411", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.259", "cap_buy_usd": "959294", "age_min": "12", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x48b07961081a4ddcad63eeaf66293e10c8854469", "entry_t": "1791373599", "why": "tp", "net_x": "4.706", "cap_buy_usd": "1063626", "age_min": "20", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x7fcbd824d7c5d4d78a8144672180ed55196eaf94", "entry_t": "1791385406", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.274", "cap_buy_usd": "1005311", "age_min": "50", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x5d07d9472723803073b594f582149ca82ffec1c2", "entry_t": "1791398410", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.277", "cap_buy_usd": "1004621", "age_min": "60", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x5183b2850bb856c9ea714e284eb18904284fa413", "entry_t": "1791398707", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.267", "cap_buy_usd": "996840", "age_min": "36", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x2569799494c3095cd9e317c61cdd69b45e3c48ce", "entry_t": "1791400769", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.229", "cap_buy_usd": "1048439", "age_min": "18", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x1dada0944e6a1ad3bf04c0c39dea5e6e3776bc08", "entry_t": "1791423175", "why": "tp", "net_x": "4.706", "cap_buy_usd": "1015995", "age_min": "32", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x5e1a6254492f45971bfc10568c1bafa8337ce79b", "entry_t": "1791438401", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.281", "cap_buy_usd": "1001312", "age_min": "76", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xf51a9b0f90dfc670949e263dee84ed3b67cf6856", "entry_t": "1791452874", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.257", "cap_buy_usd": "1108398", "age_min": "111", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x87a58fa5bc762be839c699659021ce26d1875be5", "entry_t": "1791460640", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.279", "cap_buy_usd": "1065894", "age_min": "4", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xc03ee81a630c930ccf32d6beeb103596a9a19625", "entry_t": "1791463741", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.28", "cap_buy_usd": "1020038", "age_min": "16", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x66fa7f534fd7a4ec28df51b4ea08866493ab95a2", "entry_t": "1791464907", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.281", "cap_buy_usd": "1059546", "age_min": "10", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x87e0f8b63c534b22d16e82779de425c00ebcf84d", "entry_t": "1791465988", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.28", "cap_buy_usd": "1036443", "age_min": "10", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x1488b4dd731ebd5db79efb0317aa7e7b93e22c02", "entry_t": "1791479867", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.239", "cap_buy_usd": "1046325", "age_min": "78", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x79c499dba9e823b53286fbc5da47f3512d501918", "entry_t": "1791531207", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.258", "cap_buy_usd": "971133", "age_min": "49", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x89f229f58fdf13c74091675e742ac078de909ade", "entry_t": "1791547424", "why": "tp", "net_x": "4.706", "cap_buy_usd": "1033455", "age_min": "12", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x6d6ea481d774569935261ba1c6d533e2b6669ed8", "entry_t": "1791563470", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.271", "cap_buy_usd": "973862", "age_min": "21", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x2523ca3768a80ef68d431be431b1fc092458f9c4", "entry_t": "1791577299", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.277", "cap_buy_usd": "1014562", "age_min": "26", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xb8a3bc9d428e82096e672079900dcbda0f3e3b21", "entry_t": "1791609603", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.125", "cap_buy_usd": "968031", "age_min": "36", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x54cba0b47dbead0411c383d727a2366ef2f6ddb8", "entry_t": "1791658209", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.279", "cap_buy_usd": "977860", "age_min": "89", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x973ac818af14aad900bd4d7b70bb46d306b131e3", "entry_t": "1791731242", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.274", "cap_buy_usd": "1025069", "age_min": "63", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xae0e93c0d2c43886b4f840a0675b845c675a88fc", "entry_t": "1791749849", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.28", "cap_buy_usd": "982356", "age_min": "9", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xa20e64ecf8b0e7581e526e023e61d8bc889d4229", "entry_t": "1791751449", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.281", "cap_buy_usd": "786079", "age_min": "5", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xa84da3db805362edfb3f6154097b3af92984a772", "entry_t": "1791751531", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.275", "cap_buy_usd": "1025720", "age_min": "10", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x430251e2e5db816a1ccfc9db708347060fc6cb1a", "entry_t": "1791772222", "why": "tp", "net_x": "4.706", "cap_buy_usd": "825684", "age_min": "14", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x2c3cb57c191d6890576a51582e799083fb34182e", "entry_t": "1791793789", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.133", "cap_buy_usd": "1023155", "age_min": "10", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xc413db014066964952a9c20aa760ef806073e195", "entry_t": "1791800505", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.279", "cap_buy_usd": "1079724", "age_min": "6", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xcac1414eac15af7a6a5fcc8bd578cbed0f9a4d15", "entry_t": "1791802487", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.281", "cap_buy_usd": "1039117", "age_min": "4", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xae9f22cc9fd8cbeb8de73cff48ddf446e3500565", "entry_t": "1791903893", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.272", "cap_buy_usd": "1016759", "age_min": "99", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x20430c7a7d0e53c7fa9fdd42f87cbde4068c7be0", "entry_t": "1791919093", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.275", "cap_buy_usd": "1111478", "age_min": "6", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xfa83d3d94ed51f991c78231cda9e18099e731398", "entry_t": "1791927355", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.276", "cap_buy_usd": "1039390", "age_min": "8", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x1a2d37c436446fbcdecabf9aee776fb7dcd4626e", "entry_t": "1791930201", "why": "tp", "net_x": "4.706", "cap_buy_usd": "1031210", "age_min": "55", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x1fc3ac0b0c67aa83073999fa3ed19c4a27e4ae61", "entry_t": "1791950890", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.273", "cap_buy_usd": "1233296", "age_min": "5", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x286547ee1bae88cb96d10f4e0bb4f96d332b000d", "entry_t": "1791952843", "why": "tp", "net_x": "4.706", "cap_buy_usd": "1156359", "age_min": "5", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x8221efb18a8e7ff887881ef19e4f034432182db4", "entry_t": "1791958373", "why": "pull", "net_x": "0.0", "cap_buy_usd": "1039172", "age_min": "16", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x880cc22678c825f47001e862553dc182880f3982", "entry_t": "1791969157", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.274", "cap_buy_usd": "1044372", "age_min": "90", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xea0d871041ba1155bde8ca8ba489d1e2b361e6b8", "entry_t": "1791996711", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.279", "cap_buy_usd": "1054854", "age_min": "35", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xcd959f479f29fa78fd77e9b6ceb1a12c2fe7ea9a", "entry_t": "1792007839", "why": "time", "net_x": "0.941", "cap_buy_usd": "1093616", "age_min": "11", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x03de0b4b9feeaac995d211dbd9825255cc70ae6c", "entry_t": "1792086786", "why": "pull", "net_x": "0.0", "cap_buy_usd": "1074307", "age_min": "10", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x7b3436432ab00faf73db7e6ff54ec392166e1f4e", "entry_t": "1792089638", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.277", "cap_buy_usd": "1068032", "age_min": "27", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x7cf89128f0e2d30063b45e630dd9dcb1b451ce3e", "entry_t": "1792107452", "why": "time", "net_x": "3.242", "cap_buy_usd": "980883", "age_min": "13", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xad65e271f5059a200d28667fbb14f4dc642fa786", "entry_t": "1792107480", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.274", "cap_buy_usd": "1095737", "age_min": "13", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x116b18cabde1fc2f91c268422c12ed33aa2d4eac", "entry_t": "1792175928", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.249", "cap_buy_usd": "975759", "age_min": "3", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x58d9ab51de8242f331699b54f6c6f5992b73f55f", "entry_t": "1792186632", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.278", "cap_buy_usd": "1006165", "age_min": "107", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x5394583bc2ce97d5f515ff5729caff756df2e3d1", "entry_t": "1792188425", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.27", "cap_buy_usd": "1067693", "age_min": "4", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x07838fb56c5ecbdcba3ad60d4a51954476860d3a", "entry_t": "1792190746", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.276", "cap_buy_usd": "1074811", "age_min": "8", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xc1534205a6b6d8c8557fd4d59e3b3bed791ba7d9", "entry_t": "1792192287", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.264", "cap_buy_usd": "467793", "age_min": "5", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xd8053640204b29975f6f1d5770782372764437f9", "entry_t": "1792202415", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.278", "cap_buy_usd": "1003588", "age_min": "105", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xc14b100f44eaae0f1f78e11696ee75a20ee6334d", "entry_t": "1792244205", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.208", "cap_buy_usd": "1018343", "age_min": "44", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x68864fa6909f1062b7a117712249031b280d7131", "entry_t": "1792250457", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.276", "cap_buy_usd": "1072463", "age_min": "12", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xbe22b55b3aaab09934bfe5948f45caafb0d89e3d", "entry_t": "1792250602", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.28", "cap_buy_usd": "1056124", "age_min": "82", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xd5e1e2a00a5f3084e06d601348438c4357317156", "entry_t": "1792259789", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.281", "cap_buy_usd": "951264", "age_min": "32", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x3eabe0ae2d11d2f87a55af1205f6dd7dbc52da10", "entry_t": "1792264409", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.281", "cap_buy_usd": "978246", "age_min": "36", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xf325ba617b8019fa399bda00e6c6f101d5b58478", "entry_t": "1792269520", "why": "stop", "net_x": "0.281", "cap_buy_usd": "1007018", "age_min": "74", "arm": "ALL", "src": "fwd"}], "arms": {"ALL": {"n": 60, "mean_x": 0.994, "median_x": 0.278, "wins_2x": 10, "runners_10x": 0, "losers": 50, "pnl_usd": -3.7}, "AGE60": {"n": 47, "mean_x": 1.18, "median_x": 0.279, "wins_2x": 10, "runners_10x": 0, "losers": 37, "pnl_usd": 84.66}}, "arm_notes": {}, "trades": 60, "pnl_usd": -3.7, "report_md": "# A1-V3-1M-RIDE paper test (Test Manager) - 17 Oct 21:01 UTC\n\nRule (fw/a1-iter23-requests.md, #474): v3 fee-100 pools; first swap with cap >= $1M, pool age < 120 min, $300k first crossed >= 180 s earlier, no pull before; buy 3 s after (next swap); sell at 5x / 0.3x / 6 h; pull = 0. 1% fee + 2% impact each side. Cap = mcap_usd from v3live.db (its ETHUSD). Replay of pools created since 6 Oct 00:00 UTC (whole tape), grows with the tape.\n- Pools seen 2551; waiting 0; open 0; skipped {'never $1M': 2389, 'one-print jump (<180s from $300k)': 92, 'age>=120min': 10}\n- Result: n 60, mean 0.99x, median 0.28x, win(>1x) 10, tp 9, stop 46, pull 2, time 3\n- By day: 06 Oct: n4 3.60x, 07 Oct: n8 0.90x, 08 Oct: n8 0.83x, 09 Oct: n4 1.38x, 10 Oct: n2 0.20x, 11 Oct: n4 0.28x, 12 Oct: n4 1.35x, 13 Oct: n4 1.38x, 14 Oct: n6 1.08x, 15 Oct: n4 0.95x, 16 Oct: n5 0.27x, 17 Oct: n7 0.27x\n- AGE60 arm (#74, age at $1M < 60 min): n 47, mean 1.18x, median 0.28x, win(>1x) 10, tp 9, stop 34, pull 2, time 2; age 60-120: n 13, mean 0.32x, median 0.28x, win(>1x) 0, tp 0, stop 12, pull 0, time 1. A3 replay: <60 min 1.56 n92 vs 60-180 min 1.09. Kill: AGE60 mean not above rest by 0.2 after 30 coins.\n- Longest loss streak: 13. A1 sim expected mean 1.64x, win rate 30%, n=114 in 17 days. Kill: mean < 1.0x after 30 closed trades.\n- Not tested: real fill depth at $1M cap, outside money. Ready for live only after 2 profitable days, no bugs, enough trades; only Ben switches (D-030).\n"}