A1-WH30 WETH-hook +30 min
Analyst 1 · v4 hooked WETH pools, buy at +30 min if cap 250-600k · arms A-D · paper, $10 a trade, since 10 Oct · idea #598 · updated 14 Oct 07:00 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: Forward n 3 of 30 (arm A 2.14x); sellability unproven; owner testmgr4
Still open:
- auditor 5-check
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean < 1.2x after 30 trades. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
+$150.91
Trades done
11
11 up, 0 down
Best trade
3.5x
Exit rule shown
A
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule A, numbered in time order.
Other exit rules on the same coins
| Rule | Trades | Mean | 2x+ | 10x+ | Losers | P&L at $10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 11 | 4.25x | 10 | 0 | 1 | +$357.60 |
| B | 11 | 2.49x | 7 | 0 | 2 | +$163.52 |
| C | 11 | 2.41x | 7 | 0 | 1 | +$155.15 |
| A | 11 | 2.37x | 6 | 0 | 0 | +$150.91 |
Every trade (exit rule A)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0x192c9d5c3035931cfe8697f344bd38132f8cde8e0adab7407b28a5ad4f62903b | 14 Oct 03:14 | $10 | trail | 1.57x (+57.0%) +$5.70 |
| 10 | 0x17f726fcd109a583026c9baaaa7b286ea974f0435c4d869224d46a9c40bbe0ab | 14 Oct 01:01 | $10 | trail | 3.54x (+253.6%) +$25.36 |
| 9 | 0xaca7f4c0d4c942e09b68c5c9ae5e1c4d9cd158ad1eda27bbb2aae3d245080542 | 13 Oct 17:31 | $10 | trail | 1.41x (+40.9%) +$4.09 |
| 8 | 0xa6512a554c105778a8be5630ce91126f1ee0c299b1e2ea65bd673c2e9c474738 | 13 Oct 13:04 | $10 | trail | 2.18x (+117.7%) +$11.77 |
| 7 | 0xc3bca6f2b18012f2d3e2e9cdeca5b31b9defe20be25fb6a7dff944fb27314628 | 12 Oct 06:10 | $10 | trail | 3.41x (+240.7%) +$24.07 |
| 6 | 0x8c14041f233145d3e40af07944687072c0b39fefc9aafb35e70218afd143283b | 12 Oct 03:34 | $10 | trail | 1.36x (+35.8%) +$3.58 |
| 5 | 0xd1e4eb56bb27fdd3635faf05b44ed3cd003c826f7e327da207d9596617cf5c80 | 11 Oct 23:34 | $10 | trail | 3.22x (+222.0%) +$22.20 |
| 4 | 0x7a3fb0777382132b8f8873e8f06c45720d1d5672cb37024037b563fd8eb6bce6 | 11 Oct 23:30 | $10 | trail | 2.99x (+199.1%) +$19.91 |
| 3 | 0xc428bf5a1d5c655b079ddecb5888fde91590c03b4e57904717f9cb6bf2348f56 | 11 Oct 12:54 | $10 | trail | 3.46x (+246.5%) +$24.65 |
| 2 | 0xd1f60c657c2283a9cdda64441635d73909b399eb9445f34d3ba09257878c4ce9 | 10 Oct 00:13 | $10 | trail | 1.74x (+73.7%) +$7.37 |
| 1 | 0xc0b07eee6695a88be5e2b2f85abfc8a3d8e521dbc1987f93a176e8dea3bab52f | 09 Oct 15:17 | $10 | trail | 1.22x (+22.1%) +$2.21 |
Full Test Manager report
# A1-WH30: WETH-hook pools, buy at +30 min if cap 250-600k (A1 #598) forward paper test (Test Manager) - 14 Oct 00:00 UTC
Spec: fw/a1-pp586.md. Hunt: entry +30 min, cap 250-600k, target 3M-10M. v4tape forward only. Stop 0.5x, liq drop >=50% sells at the pull swap, 8 h time stop (silent pool = 0), fee + 3% slippage each side. Arms: A trail 35% after 2x, B trail 50% after 2x, C half at 3x then trail 50%, D tp 5x. Depth proxy: pool net WETH >= 1 ETH (A1 used depth_usd_5m>=3000, not in feed).
- WETH-hook pools seen: 149; waiting 117; open 0; skipped {'cap unknown': 1, 'cap outside 250-600k': 11, 'first swap after 40 min': 1}; sign check 4/254974
- arm A: n 11, mean 2.37x, <1x 0, zeros 0, >=3x 4 | late (excluded) n 8, mean 2.24x, <1x 0, zeros 0, >=3x 2
- arm B: n 11, mean 2.49x, <1x 2, zeros 1, >=3x 3 | late (excluded) n 8, mean 2.80x, <1x 0, zeros 0, >=3x 3
- arm C: n 11, mean 2.41x, <1x 1, zeros 0, >=3x 3 | late (excluded) n 8, mean 2.69x, <1x 0, zeros 0, >=3x 3
- arm D: n 11, mean 4.25x, <1x 1, zeros 1, >=3x 10 | late (excluded) n 8, mean 3.51x, <1x 2, zeros 2, >=3x 6
- Kill: mean < 1.2 after 30 trades. Sim (upper bound, peak/entry): median 7.0x, 71/81 >= 3x; expect real capture 35-50%. Sellability unproven. Paper only.