A2/A3-WLINK
3rd distinct winner wallet buys within 180s of pool start; arm A cap<150k · paper, $10 a trade, since 10 Oct · idea #732 #737 · updated 16 Oct 10:01 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: 11 Oct: liq/pull/outside-seller columns added, runner-as-of-6h leak fixed (no change, A 2.25x n126); open: sellability sim, winner-wallet operator check, n40 fwd; owner testmgr2
Still open:
- 16 Oct sweep DRIFT: fwd last40 wlink 0.92x / wlink1 0.96x (last20 0.75/0.76); whole sample 1.44x/1.12x. fw/audit-sweep-16oct.md. 12 Oct #2145: live 3/3 rugs; paper has fast-rug survivorship (pull<=60s 7% vs live 3/3); see fw/audit-2145-wlink-rugs.md
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: arm A mean < 1.0 after 40 closed. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
+$649.42
Trades done
149
49 up, 100 down
Best trade
4.6x
Exit rule shown
A
Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 103 trades, mean 1.94x, +$966.41 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule A, numbered in time order.
Every trade (exit rule A)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149 | 0x54ebad0e1e85aa185c8c64615c99b88d18aac767 | 16 Oct 06:07 | $10 | stop | 0.45x (-55.3%) -$5.53 |
| 148 | 0x39aa796c735466319106df35dabe3bd9f23aa41d | 16 Oct 04:30 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.1%) -$5.41 |
| 147 | 0x7b3436432ab00faf73db7e6ff54ec392166e1f4e | 16 Oct 02:38 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 146 | 0x03de0b4b9feeaac995d211dbd9825255cc70ae6c | 16 Oct 01:07 | $10 | time | 1.12x (+12.3%) +$1.23 |
| 145 | 0xd39b69cf562643c703c67020318ad44360345add | 16 Oct 00:39 | $10 | time | 0.66x (-34.2%) -$3.42 |
| 144 | 0x013eb0abc0b0b10d3e89dd77a3cf551c3b86a6f6 | 15 Oct 21:13 | $10 | stop | 0.45x (-55.1%) -$5.51 |
| 143 | 0x031a99e60e718c3282875f33cf4cee5a608ddd72 | 15 Oct 19:04 | $10 | stop | 0.45x (-55.3%) -$5.53 |
| 142 | 0xf4bfa4e152d6a255909c0d14af4cceed64304a16 | 15 Oct 18:56 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.0%) -$5.40 |
| 141 | 0xb0c18e2b1fd297c44a8a2ecb1059ed61afa68799 | 15 Oct 16:47 | $10 | stop | 0.45x (-55.0%) -$5.50 |
| 140 | 0x37034b276aaeee34f5954947ff8522f80a8c4d31 | 15 Oct 15:35 | $10 | stop | 0.43x (-56.6%) -$5.66 |
| 139 | 0x325a3d9aa924dd8f17316f691e3981b16793df4f | 15 Oct 15:10 | $10 | stop | 0.43x (-56.7%) -$5.67 |
| 138 | 0x2acc09da3732576d003ba7fedf460e60ab4ce1dc | 15 Oct 14:43 | $10 | stop | 0.45x (-55.2%) -$5.52 |
| 137 | 0xcf3be00bc6834e9e197fe617e3f7a73f7c2561c8 | 15 Oct 14:30 | $10 | stop | 0.40x (-59.6%) -$5.96 |
| 136 | 0x33d94dd2721671c17a71a41787a9cc76daf6ddcb | 15 Oct 14:00 | $10 | stop | 0.44x (-55.8%) -$5.58 |
| 135 | 0xdfd01c2cd6eadedb3e32322ed7f021b44c43d130 | 15 Oct 13:31 | $10 | stop | 0.45x (-54.7%) -$5.47 |
| 134 | 0x246910a6aa4c72fa3cef5706ff3c190f973d764e | 15 Oct 13:13 | $10 | stop | 0.41x (-58.7%) -$5.87 |
| 133 | 0x6ed0981c06ad922fded0bf682b1eb12eefd23fd4 | 15 Oct 13:11 | $10 | stop | 0.42x (-57.9%) -$5.79 |
| 132 | 0xe933d4744dc88ef1f867fb0ec1cb5c37e928624d | 15 Oct 11:44 | $10 | stop | 0.45x (-54.9%) -$5.49 |
| 131 | 0xf84caacbd7ffd91a805f8e3a630c9c42d804021b | 15 Oct 09:24 | $10 | time | 2.10x (+109.8%) +$10.98 |
| 130 | 0x7d6039506e84c8839cb3912444b92b57e0caca07 | 15 Oct 08:50 | $10 | noprint | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 129 | 0xadb4efe3a6b309580c1edffbc2c917b568587167 | 15 Oct 07:52 | $10 | time | 0.87x (-12.9%) -$1.29 |
| 128 | 0xea0d871041ba1155bde8ca8ba489d1e2b361e6b8 | 14 Oct 23:48 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 127 | 0x9dc75b5ef63e6096c6d3086dee240e0f2b7e3934 | 14 Oct 23:08 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.4%) -$5.44 |
| 126 | 0xea348f823e73adfe3ef418c41103c911051b2c70 | 14 Oct 23:02 | $10 | time | 0.88x (-11.9%) -$1.19 |
| 125 | 0x28cdfc5722c06622edb8563392fad4d563ca6a29 | 14 Oct 22:59 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.2%) -$5.42 |
| 124 | 0x7a6d33a51393c23b48147a973e7ec6e6843d98c8 | 14 Oct 22:43 | $10 | time | 0.83x (-16.6%) -$1.66 |
| 123 | 0x06385c7797d15951964fd2dbe90350110f40839a | 14 Oct 20:37 | $10 | stop | 0.45x (-54.9%) -$5.49 |
| 122 | 0xf8fe1abefd611c8383f95ff2c8889a333b6a60ea | 14 Oct 19:56 | $10 | stop | 0.43x (-56.5%) -$5.65 |
| 121 | 0x91b302d0b9c66181121adda23756ca000439e624 | 14 Oct 19:29 | $10 | stop | 0.36x (-63.7%) -$6.37 |
| 120 | 0x7d64ab81db1ea82abc444414de5168b09def247c | 14 Oct 18:38 | $10 | stop | 0.44x (-55.6%) -$5.56 |
| 119 | 0xa142c2b422f6813672aac17739f8b8130e544472 | 14 Oct 18:01 | $10 | stop | 0.45x (-54.9%) -$5.49 |
| 118 | 0xf24a0c03b71afdaaef05bef1d80cbb4e85df7a3c | 14 Oct 16:45 | $10 | stop | 0.45x (-55.3%) -$5.53 |
| 117 | 0x5dbd310457d0b2730fcab0c05acba89199af82ab | 14 Oct 16:22 | $10 | stop | 0.38x (-61.7%) -$6.17 |
| 116 | 0x880cc22678c825f47001e862553dc182880f3982 | 14 Oct 15:32 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 115 | 0xe0ac860e951d3b2796a861d48da65e9fbf631fd9 | 14 Oct 15:29 | $10 | stop | 0.45x (-54.7%) -$5.47 |
| 114 | 0x2efc07cc142dc18f353acfc5e4bc44f36d0873d6 | 14 Oct 14:39 | $10 | time | 1.09x (+9.0%) +$0.90 |
| 113 | 0x9faa901acf2372d08f411eaa18fb2ac9ac8902ea | 14 Oct 14:35 | $10 | time | 3.21x (+221.3%) +$22.13 |
| 112 | 0xc166ef7cc5ddce4f7afcd37e74184fbdbe74fe45 | 14 Oct 14:27 | $10 | stop | 0.44x (-55.9%) -$5.59 |
| 111 | 0xcf25666279df0c56f0aff90b6106342603de6c43 | 14 Oct 14:03 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.0%) -$5.40 |
| 110 | 0x5895adf12e0e4c2e209d1f0e0aab003047805acc | 14 Oct 13:28 | $10 | stop | 0.44x (-56.0%) -$5.60 |
| 109 | 0x0e0ae4d35814282872d821d022278bc38a227f40 | 14 Oct 13:15 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.1%) -$5.41 |
| 108 | 0x8221efb18a8e7ff887881ef19e4f034432182db4 | 14 Oct 13:05 | $10 | stop | 0.45x (-55.2%) -$5.52 |
| 107 | 0x286547ee1bae88cb96d10f4e0bb4f96d332b000d | 14 Oct 11:41 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 106 | 0x885a1e4736aa6a60acf5404997729f98b6dd2902 | 14 Oct 11:33 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.5%) -$5.45 |
| 105 | 0x675f23192061a75c722ce7ccd524c9fe75602dd1 | 14 Oct 11:26 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.3%) -$5.43 |
| 104 | 0x0d4249f0d237c99b395ff4f53401471570eb51e5 | 14 Oct 11:17 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 103 | 0x55b49390b9cbc390288aad6e73eaefc168ea929f | 14 Oct 11:15 | $10 | stop | 0.45x (-55.2%) -$5.52 |
| 102 | 0x1fc3ac0b0c67aa83073999fa3ed19c4a27e4ae61 | 14 Oct 11:08 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.3%) -$5.43 |
| 101 | 0x393dcd99fc5304d6178296be1e1eac71708c09ae | 14 Oct 11:05 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 100 | 0x1132cd404a584d15a5ee0b824724a474c816080d | 14 Oct 11:01 | $10 | stop | 0.30x (-70.4%) -$7.04 |
| 99 | 0x39d2466bcbde8488e1a9614cad4bf6e4212d1612 | 14 Oct 10:58 | $10 | stop | 0.44x (-56.1%) -$5.61 |
| 98 | 0x7f4f0b7f54a5be0add4a92d91fc1bd4f3f777211 | 14 Oct 10:56 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.3%) -$5.43 |
| 97 | 0x3ab26288118cfb047f66c0821d9ef99917ec87cc | 14 Oct 10:51 | $10 | time | 1.82x (+81.6%) +$8.16 |
| 96 | 0x3a05186f41f9a5cc5ee8d0d0ad29d29f6f420966 | 14 Oct 10:37 | $10 | noprint | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 95 | 0xb6f5f4140ef16a71c7aff595d816fd7850b8d3d2 | 14 Oct 10:32 | $10 | noprint | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 94 | 0x429462d1e053a9095ca13cc4128e60a110f537d0 | 14 Oct 08:02 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 93 | 0xd1122ffa6beb1ac7e45186983de98cc3eaece530 | 14 Oct 07:30 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 92 | 0x0887e53d0a7152e58f25d715667db16352c3b7a8 | 14 Oct 07:04 | $10 | noprint | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 91 | 0x1a2d37c436446fbcdecabf9aee776fb7dcd4626e | 14 Oct 04:57 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.1%) -$5.41 |
| 90 | 0x4334226b8dc9e3f3a232e7e81f144e0d98a0cb4f | 14 Oct 04:29 | $10 | time | 0.93x (-7.0%) -$0.70 |
| 89 | 0xf372979554540a27489b04d32d1145d81c1f7759 | 14 Oct 03:21 | $10 | time | 1.26x (+25.9%) +$2.59 |
| 88 | 0x04f7a114ccfb0a820e1fc82d9a1754c11a1fa341 | 14 Oct 02:43 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.5%) -$5.45 |
| 87 | 0x9840c63f001db631916dd73cc412e54b1579056e | 14 Oct 02:41 | $10 | stop | 0.45x (-54.9%) -$5.49 |
| 86 | 0x97267b531e92c01cd1626ef21057028408d091a2 | 14 Oct 00:13 | $10 | stop | 0.41x (-59.0%) -$5.90 |
| 85 | 0x804cd885af8c734b2ec3a8cebb886f2e6bb4f317 | 13 Oct 22:36 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 84 | 0xeeb59688ba110f63c59b01df222763a033730ceb | 13 Oct 21:22 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 83 | 0x2c12308cb21d1bdc203cf4845238f4780385a02e | 13 Oct 18:45 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 82 | 0x1b75316717c4803ef855cff7e6f868c85df1597b | 13 Oct 18:40 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.2%) -$5.42 |
| 81 | 0x7764c49f0072e1417386ccb0b01f35388fbcf2cc | 13 Oct 18:33 | $10 | time | 0.79x (-21.0%) -$2.10 |
| 80 | 0x8544d5cbc7007ab0753ee661d8ebdc37d97419c0 | 13 Oct 06:29 | $10 | time | 0.51x (-49.5%) -$4.95 |
| 79 | 0x3fa9d09455def30fe120d5d8e56f856899309068 | 13 Oct 06:02 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 78 | 0x9a2a7ac652a16cb4cdfa88112ee7c92f6101ac07 | 13 Oct 05:53 | $10 | stop | 0.42x (-57.5%) -$5.75 |
| 77 | 0x85d37efb627a1525eb54dbff4850946fda58bce8 | 13 Oct 05:32 | $10 | stop | 0.45x (-55.1%) -$5.51 |
| 76 | 0x62892af7b92b2d2680244ce505c58e6bfa1fcbce | 13 Oct 04:24 | $10 | time | 0.80x (-19.8%) -$1.98 |
| 75 | 0xde9853ccd39c86904839af26bd681b76ccae89c6 | 12 Oct 23:18 | $10 | stop | 0.39x (-61.1%) -$6.11 |
| 74 | 0x4cf25a1e92841a9cdcb36c4f6c5632ae613c5434 | 12 Oct 20:48 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 73 | 0x8dffdfe644151fb831b75973e168ccccf7e961d6 | 12 Oct 20:26 | $10 | time | 0.92x (-8.2%) -$0.82 |
| 72 | 0xb76cd32f6d40099f6c4af3037e4812dfb2b394d3 | 12 Oct 18:21 | $10 | time | 0.92x (-7.6%) -$0.76 |
| 71 | 0x9784c7debfc0234ec52425e847989888ec5411a5 | 12 Oct 15:39 | $10 | time | 1.36x (+35.8%) +$3.58 |
| 70 | 0xc48471a17b3f6f5e7354031a3423d910103d5f76 | 12 Oct 15:37 | $10 | noprint | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 69 | 0x564e430a1e207483e5967a87d182ea58bc2c0a86 | 12 Oct 15:33 | $10 | time | 1.76x (+76.5%) +$7.65 |
| 68 | 0xd89895e4383b4f861256a92e91479373c7d8a760 | 12 Oct 15:17 | $10 | time | 1.20x (+20.1%) +$2.01 |
| 67 | 0xc51c1e39c4327ea69ed917a9a44eb876cd2350e4 | 12 Oct 15:03 | $10 | time | 0.88x (-11.8%) -$1.18 |
| 66 | 0x65ce56038657300a2251c617633f5dc193471e46 | 12 Oct 14:52 | $10 | stop | 0.45x (-55.2%) -$5.52 |
| 65 | 0xdea91b9f09c4f49c86a4081c23c36c7e1c63e23e | 12 Oct 10:12 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.3%) -$5.43 |
| 64 | 0x3348fd38d98476ec790b9aae8d8445af6719087c | 12 Oct 07:44 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 63 | 0x16f68f12d4a0de902de6820083f3363de7fbdba0 | 12 Oct 07:43 | $10 | time | 0.64x (-35.7%) -$3.57 |
| 62 | 0x80989e1b33502cd1713c3a7661c69939c4cdc2a3 | 12 Oct 07:28 | $10 | time | 0.79x (-21.0%) -$2.10 |
| 61 | 0x37e56f5d73c8e0e54a7aa1c73d956588b9175d56 | 12 Oct 07:18 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 60 | 0x7cb526e5b07f6008cabf84d4983e697f982e154d | 12 Oct 06:54 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 59 | 0x389233cedf7e44984130ed3d3549584604673bab | 12 Oct 06:37 | $10 | noprint | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 58 | 0xfbb0be7056210549b54e7ce1c3ff8ce0bbf57528 | 12 Oct 06:29 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 57 | 0xd2f9a0e5f95d21002e837d71b6e06c21763c7409 | 12 Oct 06:25 | $10 | time | 1.97x (+96.5%) +$9.65 |
| 56 | 0x6591f18dac82c4c79ee60a937284cccccc827142 | 12 Oct 06:16 | $10 | time | 1.30x (+30.1%) +$3.01 |
| 55 | 0xbfa59d4e591d9ae6196a77db28f2f70e85b0df1a | 12 Oct 05:01 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.0%) -$5.40 |
| 54 | 0xa20e64ecf8b0e7581e526e023e61d8bc889d4229 | 12 Oct 03:50 | $10 | stop | 0.45x (-54.8%) -$5.48 |
| 53 | 0x8680c47c03b908a64a035766f17e08a89f8b307b | 12 Oct 03:41 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 52 | 0xf4766fe8b45a5a55c2f1d642b54ac9fbfc158dbd | 12 Oct 03:12 | $10 | time | 0.94x (-6.1%) -$0.61 |
| 51 | 0x6228e2db6d0a6d89ca8152aec03b094b7972bdf0 | 12 Oct 03:01 | $10 | time | 1.89x (+89.4%) +$8.94 |
| 50 | 0xa9e1cb74ba69b2b399f6c7f7538a9b3fefd4749c | 12 Oct 02:50 | $10 | time | 1.20x (+20.4%) +$2.04 |
| 49 | 0xcef191ed5f10f69a9a49acd147bd707a7b2cbc1f | 12 Oct 02:24 | $10 | stop | 0.44x (-55.8%) -$5.58 |
| 48 | 0x9dbad2a3550a9cf4a9d369bc83a4dfb8b9253ca2 | 12 Oct 02:14 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 47 | 0x603533e2e79f92124b447ee1f6fca93f2a659ed3 | 12 Oct 01:59 | $10 | stop | 0.31x (-69.2%) -$6.92 |
| 46 | 0x25cd251aefac4e9e768fec67e31cd7025ecab679 | 12 Oct 01:36 | $10 | stop | 0.45x (-55.3%) -$5.53 |
| 45 | 0xd6233eb08f38cb30c9e44c4bc9bfd67c02bdfa4d | 12 Oct 00:57 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.0%) -$5.40 |
| 44 | 0x0359b9be1a868c39657ed799e83d98f128c3dcbe | 12 Oct 00:41 | $10 | stop | 0.45x (-55.0%) -$5.50 |
| 43 | 0x4b3d491330a3a4d4e1851c941333b9b397b9c79e | 12 Oct 00:32 | $10 | time | 0.67x (-32.7%) -$3.27 |
| 42 | 0xca507fd5b1ddfdc3a1ddefa6b528f5524ffcf59b | 12 Oct 00:23 | $10 | stop | 0.40x (-60.4%) -$6.04 |
| 41 | 0xbc9f431132ab8a40d64a704c84d6d1d203e1a5bf | 12 Oct 00:20 | $10 | stop | 0.45x (-54.9%) -$5.49 |
| 40 | 0x6f4e2d27a01d4a4c21c65d04361d675cd9b3a9ec | 12 Oct 00:07 | $10 | stop | 0.43x (-57.0%) -$5.70 |
| 39 | 0x8c6c06a0f9594c9da81a439af6200efc42cf86c4 | 11 Oct 23:09 | $10 | time | 0.85x (-14.8%) -$1.48 |
| 38 | 0x6de464a8aef68d3cf07af46ac54d6378259684bd | 11 Oct 21:47 | $10 | stop | 0.41x (-58.8%) -$5.88 |
| 37 | 0x6d29da3965ab6d98c8c7bd492c3f339636b11fb3 | 11 Oct 21:47 | $10 | time | 1.02x (+2.5%) +$0.25 |
| 36 | 0x973ac818af14aad900bd4d7b70bb46d306b131e3 | 11 Oct 21:09 | $10 | stop | 0.41x (-58.8%) -$5.88 |
| 35 | 0x74da027402cea7cfdf61d418eb22929a99490ab7 | 11 Oct 20:46 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.3%) -$5.43 |
| 34 | 0xffd2726a41acfbb828a1140a2c6990e1773b9430 | 11 Oct 17:27 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 33 | 0xeab3a5979033a57e4512806812cffa98ee128e88 | 11 Oct 16:57 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 32 | 0x9f345aab8cc26095e92e3f7e71f58a9df718312b | 11 Oct 15:00 | $10 | noprint | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 31 | 0xaa4d23057ad7e9f07ecee4c31963c1bf6e6416f7 | 11 Oct 14:02 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 30 | 0x46c71366874dc684c8da7a90cd7478435ca9748b | 11 Oct 13:50 | $10 | time | 1.94x (+93.6%) +$9.36 |
| 29 | 0x94509f9d58275218b85320bbdb6cdbd696a1da65 | 11 Oct 13:30 | $10 | stop | 0.43x (-56.9%) -$5.69 |
| 28 | 0x0a52a828218a988d39e04d84dd66919f16b90765 | 11 Oct 13:16 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 27 | 0xe7d19baeb85f3edb0f68833b223406eb33889bba | 11 Oct 13:14 | $10 | time | 0.73x (-26.5%) -$2.65 |
| 26 | 0x4cc1ca1a22ecf6c9dae3980e6390cd13463e1602 | 11 Oct 13:03 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.4%) -$5.44 |
| 25 | 0xd43808a73555b9115f461a5e806f2c3815bc585f | 11 Oct 12:57 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.4%) -$5.44 |
| 24 | 0x0fb2f1130140e4870a49333b754a17953471ab8f | 11 Oct 12:52 | $10 | time | 1.68x (+68.4%) +$6.84 |
| 23 | 0xaed33d97f46c4336231638585536094ede791de5 | 11 Oct 12:48 | $10 | time | 0.58x (-42.3%) -$4.23 |
| 22 | 0xe17d1ba2c0a9c9cb7998e8107e0f8d44ec46348f | 11 Oct 11:23 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 21 | 0xa3311357133f46d9cc880c3e1e93bc77d8166137 | 11 Oct 11:21 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 20 | 0x60601075dcd35c2a6e3adf9f7aae04bde56f2e5b | 11 Oct 10:43 | $10 | time | 1.56x (+55.9%) +$5.59 |
| 19 | 0x53f9321b8e42b2f69316a547fabccce7ce9c6535 | 11 Oct 10:08 | $10 | stop | 0.42x (-58.3%) -$5.83 |
| 18 | 0x2c254c0c7777130f951583a1650d1bc1b93fd5f4 | 11 Oct 09:50 | $10 | stop | 0.43x (-57.3%) -$5.73 |
| 17 | 0x06211e22935039e35b52bff05b9da281efa0bcf7 | 11 Oct 09:22 | $10 | stop | 0.37x (-63.1%) -$6.31 |
| 16 | 0xfbe0081ad792cee2ca33eb35934f79f7634b8263 | 11 Oct 09:00 | $10 | time | 0.66x (-33.9%) -$3.39 |
| 15 | 0xc6f7bb783e3420e97f1d695dcff366910353af77 | 11 Oct 08:37 | $10 | time | 0.64x (-35.9%) -$3.59 |
| 14 | 0x6d5fd630aff710761ff43e7b3fe10c6449b4b33e | 11 Oct 07:53 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 13 | 0x8700a58c10fbbed866edd31ecf2fe330404fd9ed | 11 Oct 05:47 | $10 | stop | 0.28x (-71.8%) -$7.18 |
| 12 | 0x0b2cd528f3d28c34464037837c05ea3b092826da | 11 Oct 01:21 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 11 | 0x12932497df306b359de1cd053e8a4f8ee069b8b1 | 11 Oct 00:49 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 10 | 0x59580260410a221a6b1603fd29a761460eff5e84 | 11 Oct 00:34 | $10 | time | 2.16x (+116.3%) +$11.63 |
| 9 | 0xf3a4b2eff7862d4bdcb69132917c54d0c9b9dae1 | 11 Oct 00:11 | $10 | tp | 4.61x (+360.7%) +$36.07 |
| 8 | 0xaae8acfdd1d3cd25daf445b0159093c9cbaf6b6a | 10 Oct 23:59 | $10 | time | 1.24x (+23.7%) +$2.37 |
| 7 | 0x3ef504591bec92bc295acf30688090b71d8bbbf8 | 10 Oct 23:32 | $10 | time | 0.50x (-50.2%) -$5.02 |
| 6 | 0x04d875a300a342bae31de58ba7f88406e41b87a3 | 10 Oct 22:44 | $10 | stop | 0.29x (-71.4%) -$7.14 |
| 5 | 0xd54edaa4a65bb0c1326a9c086da99f30b73e5e8f | 10 Oct 22:42 | $10 | time | 0.93x (-7.0%) -$0.70 |
| 4 | 0x13dc31935dc61ed51612d13893e9f3deda213778 | 10 Oct 22:25 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.5%) -$5.45 |
| 3 | 0x02b94d58b1b46e98f36a1c4bb67f7fafc903d251 | 10 Oct 22:09 | $10 | time | 1.53x (+53.0%) +$5.30 |
| 2 | 0x17b39fddf7bc26068a98e6555afd8430eac08b7b | 10 Oct 20:16 | $10 | time | 0.81x (-19.5%) -$1.95 |
| 1 | 0x967d9148c71fcf6aebaf2c4c79d8dde33e4a5e9d | 10 Oct 19:25 | $10 | stop | 0.41x (-58.7%) -$5.87 |
Full Test Manager report
# A2-WLINK / A3-WLINK paper test (Test Manager, #732 #737) - 16 Oct 03:01 UTC
**HEADLINE (pull-adjusted, no-print pools = 0x): arm A forward n 97, mean 1.49x, median 0.00x, win 37, tp 27, stop 23, runners 3, pulled 51, tp with 0 outside sellers 60s 1, median liq entry 4.8 ETH**
Rule (fw/a2-wlink-44.md): fee-100 v3 pool; 3rd distinct winner wallet (early buyer of an earlier runner, 6 h lag, infra excluded) buys within 180 s of pool start; buy first print >=10 s later; tp5 / stop 0.5 / 4 h; 3% fee + 5% slip. Arm A cap<150k (spec), arm B all caps.
- Winner wallets known 13481; infra excluded 603; pools with early buys 3665; signal pools waiting 0; skipped {'no entry print': 12}
- Arm A (cap<150k): n 180, mean 1.97x, median 1.08x, win 96, tp 53, stop 41, runners 6, pulled 83, tp with 0 outside sellers 60s 2, median liq entry 4.3 ETH
- Arm B (all caps): n 252, mean 1.64x, median 0.78x, win 104, tp 59, stop 103, runners 47, pulled 93, tp with 0 outside sellers 60s 2, median liq entry 5.5 ETH
- Arm A, entry print >60 s after signal (thin, slow fill): n 0
- Arm A forward only (since 10 Oct 11:50 UTC): n 97, mean 1.87x, median 0.93x, win 46, tp 27, stop 23, runners 3, pulled 51, tp with 0 outside sellers 60s 1, median liq entry 4.8 ETH
- Arm A pull-adjusted (pulled rows = 0x, pull_t <= exit_t in every pulled row): n 180, mean 1.60x, median 0.46x, win 73, tp 53, stop 41, runners 6, pulled 83, tp with 0 outside sellers 60s 2, median liq entry 4.3 ETH; fwd n 97, mean 1.49x, median 0.00x, win 37, tp 27, stop 23, runners 3, pulled 51, tp with 0 outside sellers 60s 1, median liq entry 4.8 ETH; no-pull only: n 97, mean 2.96x, median 4.61x, win 73, tp 53, stop 9, runners 6, pulled 0, tp with 0 outside sellers 60s 2, median liq entry 4.4 ETH
- Replay expectation (A2, net): ~2.05x at cap<150k (n123), 0.80 at >=150k. Kill: arm A mean < 1.0 after n=40 closed trades.
- Caveats: pool pull not modeled (prints only); thin 20-60k pools; winner list from v3tx.db early table (12 Sep-6 Oct) plus v3live signers.