# BUNDLE300: bundled launch (>$34k) entered at $300-400k vs unbundled baseline (A2 #447) paper test (Test Manager) - 10 Oct 03:10 UTC
Spec: fw/a2-bundle-entry-10oct.md. v3live.db, entry first swap 3 s after the $300k cross (cap <=400k, cross within 15 min of launch). Arms: A sell all at $1M | B half $1M, rest $5M | C trail 50% from peak after $1M; stop 0.5x, pull = 0, 6 h time exit; 1%+2% per side. Replay covers v3live history (6 Oct on); forward = launches after 10 Oct 02:00 UTC.
- Flag source bundle_launch (unlisted pools in table seen = unbundled; last bundle_launch row launch 08 Oct 09:50 UTC). Swaps jumping >30x vs previous dropped as glitches. Open 3; skipped {'never 300k': 1199, 'cap>400k at entry': 127, 'no swap after cross': 15, 'cross >15min after launch': 45, 'not yet checked by bundle.py (flag unknown)': 20}
- bundle >$34k arm A: replay+fwd n 1, mean 0.95x, <1x 1, zeros 0, >=3x 0 | forward only n 0, mean 0.00x, <1x 0, zeros 0, >=3x 0
- bundle >$34k arm B: replay+fwd n 1, mean 0.95x, <1x 1, zeros 0, >=3x 0 | forward only n 0, mean 0.00x, <1x 0, zeros 0, >=3x 0
- bundle >$34k arm C: replay+fwd n 1, mean 0.95x, <1x 1, zeros 0, >=3x 0 | forward only n 0, mean 0.00x, <1x 0, zeros 0, >=3x 0
- bundle <=$34k arm A: replay+fwd n 6, mean 0.93x, <1x 5, zeros 0, >=3x 0 | forward only n 0, mean 0.00x, <1x 0, zeros 0, >=3x 0
- bundle <=$34k arm B: replay+fwd n 6, mean 0.74x, <1x 5, zeros 0, >=3x 0 | forward only n 0, mean 0.00x, <1x 0, zeros 0, >=3x 0
- bundle <=$34k arm C: replay+fwd n 6, mean 1.03x, <1x 5, zeros 0, >=3x 1 | forward only n 0, mean 0.00x, <1x 0, zeros 0, >=3x 0
- unbundled baseline arm A: replay+fwd n 23, mean 1.09x, <1x 18, zeros 2, >=3x 5 | forward only n 0, mean 0.00x, <1x 0, zeros 0, >=3x 0
- unbundled baseline arm B: replay+fwd n 23, mean 0.88x, <1x 18, zeros 2, >=3x 1 | forward only n 0, mean 0.00x, <1x 0, zeros 0, >=3x 0
- unbundled baseline arm C: replay+fwd n 23, mean 0.89x, <1x 18, zeros 2, >=3x 1 | forward only n 0, mean 0.00x, <1x 0, zeros 0, >=3x 0
- Kill (A2): mean < 1.3x over 30 closed or any bundled arm below baseline. Caveat: peaks known from tape, path-dependent stop; sellability to outside money unproven. Paper only.