# A3-NH1M: seed-25k kit, buy 300k touch, tp3-3.2 stop .5 (ledger 561) forward paper test (Test Manager) - 19 Oct 20:41 UTC
Spec: analyst3/a3-nohook100-tape-10oct.md. Feed v4tape forward only. Hunt: 2.5-3x flip from 300k (not a runner catcher). Stop 0.5x, 4 h, fee + 3% slip each side, pull = 0, quiet pool = last print capped at 1.0. Jump = touch price >=1.5x previous swap (skipped).
- No-hook fee-100 pools in tape: 1747; with supply 1483; waiting 1345; open (arm legs) 2; skipped {'not seed-25k kit': 224, 'no supply': 23, 'jump': 11}
- arm A (tp3): on time n 35, mean 1.40x, <1x 25, tp 10, pull 0, quiet 22 | late (excluded) n 108, mean 1.58x, <1x 64, tp 44, pull 1, quiet 46
- arm B (tp3.2): on time n 35, mean 1.38x, <1x 26, tp 9, pull 0, quiet 22 | late (excluded) n 108, mean 1.59x, <1x 67, tp 41, pull 1, quiet 48
- Kill: fwd arm A mean < 1.05 at n20 or pulls > 15%. Replay: tp2.5 1.35x, tp3 1.30x, pulls 1%. Caveat: outsider sell depth unproven; cap uses a stale ETHUSD.
