# A2-V3P204 paper test (forward, Test Manager)

Made 11 Oct 02:41 Bangkok. Paper replay of pools born since 8 Oct 13:00 (after the A2 backtest), same harness/fills as all tests: bt.py tick walk, 1% each way + gas, $50. Numbers are tickets (+1.0 = $50). Pools matched so far: 250.

| arm | trades | wins | net tickets | w/o top 3 | worst | TP hits | 10-loss-streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5x | 15 | 13 | +44.5 | +32.8 | 0.00x | 12 | 1 |
| 3x | 15 | 13 | +22.9 | +16.8 | 0.00x | 13 | 1 |
| 5x500 | 15 | 13 | +23.5 | +16.9 | 0.00x | 12 | 1 |
| 3x500 | 15 | 13 | +12.5 | +8.9 | 0.00x | 13 | 1 |

Kill rule (A1): paper mean < 1.3x or below dumb baseline 1.22x over 100 trades. 5x arm now: 15 trades, mean 3.97x. keep running

5x exits and their real fill x: exits5.csv (12 so far). A fill well under 5x on these means the 5x arm is optimistic; compare with the 3x arm.
Ready for live only after 2 profitable days with no bugs and enough trades (Ben's rule); only Ben switches (D-030).