# A3-V2Q forward paper test (Test Manager) - 15 Oct 00:10 UTC
Rule (analyst3 a3-2023-v2trig.md, #2024): factory 0x8bce v2 pair, price >= 8x first Sync and WETH reserve >= 2 (feed v2trig). Buy 0.05 ETH at 2nd Sync after trigger, exit +5x / -50% / reserve < 60% of max (LP pull) / 30 min. Constant product on real reserves, 0.3% fee each side. Replay expectation: n 26, mean 3.59x (tp5 sl.5), 3 zeros.
- Triggers seen 26; closed 26; open/waiting 0; LP pulls among closed 15
- Mean 1.57x, <1x 16, longest loss streak 6
- Arm G (gate sells_pre >= 3, analyst3 #2229; missing field = not gated): n 6, mean 3.21x. Arm A = all triggers (no guard, record only). Judge G.
- Kill (arm G): mean < 1.0 over 20 trades or 10 losses in a row. Not tested: token sell tax / honeypot (ppfeeds open), outside-wallet sellability.