# V3-VEARLY paper test (Test Manager) - 22 Oct 19:32 UTC

Rule (ledger #617, a2-miss-v3-16oct.md idea C): v3 pools, first swap cap >= $10k at age <= 300 s, entry cap < $30k, pool ETH >= 1; buy 15 s later; exit 0.6x stop | trail (A 50% / B 65% below peak) | 6 h; pull = 0; 1% fee + 2% impact each side. Hunt: enter 10-30k in the first 5 min, ride to 1M+. Kill: fwd arm A mean < 1.05 at n20; decide by 20 Oct.
- Skipped {'pool ETH<1': 1880, 'entry cap>=30k': 285, 'trigger cap>=30k': 248, 'age>300s': 105}; waiting 15; open legs 1
- Arm A forward: n 94, mean 1.74x, median 0.00x, win(>1x) 30, trail 35, stop 2, pull 57, time 0
- Arm B forward: n 95, mean 2.00x, median 0.78x, win(>1x) 40, trail 54, stop 0, pull 41, time 0
- Arm A replay (6 Oct-FWD, analyst2 got 2.29x with cost 7%): n 168, mean 2.05x, median 0.00x, win(>1x) 49, trail 57, stop 3, pull 107, time 1
- Arm B replay: n 168, mean 1.81x, median 0.00x, win(>1x) 63, trail 77, stop 0, pull 91, time 0
- Not tested: outside-wallet sell depth at 10-30k cap (tiny pools); touch of 1M not tracked here.
