# A2-WLINK / A3-WLINK paper test (Test Manager, #732 #737) - 16 Oct 03:01 UTC
**HEADLINE (pull-adjusted, no-print pools = 0x): arm A forward n 97, mean 1.49x, median 0.00x, win 37, tp 27, stop 23, runners 3, pulled 51, tp with 0 outside sellers 60s 1, median liq entry 4.8 ETH**
Rule (fw/a2-wlink-44.md): fee-100 v3 pool; 3rd distinct winner wallet (early buyer of an earlier runner, 6 h lag, infra excluded) buys within 180 s of pool start; buy first print >=10 s later; tp5 / stop 0.5 / 4 h; 3% fee + 5% slip. Arm A cap<150k (spec), arm B all caps.
- Winner wallets known 13481; infra excluded 603; pools with early buys 3665; signal pools waiting 0; skipped {'no entry print': 12}
- Arm A (cap<150k): n 180, mean 1.97x, median 1.08x, win 96, tp 53, stop 41, runners 6, pulled 83, tp with 0 outside sellers 60s 2, median liq entry 4.3 ETH
- Arm B (all caps): n 252, mean 1.64x, median 0.78x, win 104, tp 59, stop 103, runners 47, pulled 93, tp with 0 outside sellers 60s 2, median liq entry 5.5 ETH
- Arm A, entry print >60 s after signal (thin, slow fill): n 0
- Arm A forward only (since 10 Oct 11:50 UTC): n 97, mean 1.87x, median 0.93x, win 46, tp 27, stop 23, runners 3, pulled 51, tp with 0 outside sellers 60s 1, median liq entry 4.8 ETH
- Arm A pull-adjusted (pulled rows = 0x, pull_t <= exit_t in every pulled row): n 180, mean 1.60x, median 0.46x, win 73, tp 53, stop 41, runners 6, pulled 83, tp with 0 outside sellers 60s 2, median liq entry 4.3 ETH; fwd n 97, mean 1.49x, median 0.00x, win 37, tp 27, stop 23, runners 3, pulled 51, tp with 0 outside sellers 60s 1, median liq entry 4.8 ETH; no-pull only: n 97, mean 2.96x, median 4.61x, win 73, tp 53, stop 9, runners 6, pulled 0, tp with 0 outside sellers 60s 2, median liq entry 4.4 ETH
- Replay expectation (A2, net): ~2.05x at cap<150k (n123), 0.80 at >=150k. Kill: arm A mean < 1.0 after n=40 closed trades.
- Caveats: pool pull not modeled (prints only); thin 20-60k pools; winner list from v3tx.db early table (12 Sep-6 Oct) plus v3live signers.