---
name: screen-log-7
description: Continuation of [[screen-log-6]] from 16 Sep 2026, after that file neared the 48KB cap. Same rules and columns as [[screen-log]] - one row per screen, written BEFORE the verdict, screen-time facts only, outcomes scored in the screen-log-outcomes files. Read and append on every screen.
sources: [cowork]
aliases: [screen-ledger-7]
---

# Screen log, part 7 (from 16 Sep 2026)

Rules and columns are in [[screen-log]]. Rows under 2KB where possible. Prior rows: [[screen-log-6]].

## Log

### 2026-09-16 ~00:20 BKK. CEREBRO DAILY SELLER LEDGER. Third pass on the CEREBRO row in [[screen-log-6]], run because Ben said "they've sold a bunch, and now they're not selling anymore. Give me an overview of how much they're selling per day since inception until today." Artifact v3.0, same URL https://claude.ai/artifact/EJAjLgHuPiwM2XuxbCBFJJ

**⚠⚠ BEN'S PREMISE WAS HALF WRONG AND THE WRONG HALF MATTERED. THEY HAVE NOT STOPPED SELLING. THEY SOLD TODAY.** Only the 20 nonce-0 rotation wallets stopped (they literally cannot sell without sending a first transaction). The wider operator group has sold on **every single day of the token's life**.

**⚠ MY OWN ERROR THAT CAUSED IT: I ANALYSED THE 40 WALLETS I ALREADY KNEW ABOUT AND NEVER ASKED WHERE THEIR OUTFLOW WENT.** Classifying every destination of the known 40-wallet cluster shows **only 8.97% of their outflow reached a trading venue**. The rest went to MORE wallets, in full-stack moves and round 10,000,000 and 5,000,000 lots. The 12 Sep "rotation" I wrote up as the finding was one visible layer of a continuous fan-out. **STANDING RULE, and it is the seller-ledger rule restated: before measuring how much a cluster sold, classify 100% of its outflow. If the venue share is low, your cluster boundary is wrong, not their selling.**

**THE CLOSURE, and how it was validated before anything was counted.** Seed = the 20 launch wallets; follow every non-venue outbound edge recursively; stop at venues. Converges in 6 generations to **119 wallets** (+52, +18, +9, +10, +9, +1). Over-collection risk measured rather than assumed: **nonce 0 = 24 wallets holding 22.84% of supply; nonce 1-30 = 73 wallets holding 28.13%; nonce 31-200 = 11 holding 0.63%; nonce >200 (aged, possibly innocent) = 11 holding 0.30%; 15 contracts.** So **97 of 119 wallets have sent <=30 txs and hold 50.97% of supply**, and every aged wallet combined holds 0.30%. The graph walk is sound. **NEW STANDING METHOD: after any transitive wallet-graph walk, publish the nonce distribution of the closure weighted by supply held. It is the cheapest possible proof that you did not sweep in innocent counterparties, and it takes one batched `eth_getTransactionCount` pass.**

**THE DAILY LEDGER (Bangkok days, sells counted only into the derived venue set, each sale priced at the close of the hour it happened in from 147 hourly candles).**
| Day | Tokens sold | USD sold | Sell legs | Tokens bought | USD bought | NET OUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 09 Sep | 99,747 | $12 | 1 | 0 | $0 | $12 |
| Thu 10 Sep | 68,446,496 | $30,524 | 51 | 6,106,999 | $4,885 | $25,639 |
| Fri 11 Sep | 33,162,754 | $5,371 | 8 | 21,904,174 | $5,801 | -$430 |
| **Sat 12 Sep** | **75,696,855** | **$226,771** | **222** | 9,716,736 | $32,579 | **$194,192** |
| Sun 13 Sep | 8,938,470 | $36,101 | 96 | 3,885,364 | $13,277 | $22,823 |
| Mon 14 Sep | 14,587,775 | $38,394 | 46 | 5,553,645 | $11,644 | $26,750 |
| Tue 15 Sep | 13,524,280 | $30,395 | 104 | 7,746,146 | $17,415 | $12,980 |
| **TOTAL** | **214,456,377** | **$367,567** | **528** | **54,913,064** | **$85,601** | **$281,966** |

[Note: Due to content size limit, full detailed analysis continues as per memory source...]
