--- name: screen-log-9 description: Continuation of [[screen-log-8]] from 18 Sep 2026, after that file hit the 48KB cap. Same rules and columns as [[screen-log]] - one row per screen, written BEFORE the verdict, screen-time facts only, outcomes scored in the screen-log-outcomes files. Read and append on every screen. sources: [cowork] aliases: [screen-ledger-9] --- # Screen log, part 9 (from 18 Sep 2026) Rules and columns are in [[screen-log]]. Prior rows: [[screen-log-8]]. ## Log ### ⚠ 2026-09-18 ~00:00 BKK. THE "WHITE HOUSE POSTED THE ANIMAL" PATTERN, AUDITED. Ben pasted @thejbullmarket's Telegram claim that $DOGGO is the third animal to have a memecoin before the White House posted it, after $PENGUIN "ran to $167M" and $JIMOTHY "to $40M", and asked how long post-to-top took and whether there was a hard dump in between. **VERDICT: the PENGUIN number is right and the pattern is real there. THE JIMOTHY CLAIM IS THE MISLEADING ONE: its top came 18 HOURS BEFORE the White House post, and the post was the EXIT, not the launchpad.** Anything sized off "this is the third one" is sized off a sample of one. **WH POST TIMES, taken from `from:WhiteHouse` on twitterapi.io, not from the claim.** PENGUIN: *"Embrace the penguin"* **23 Jan 2026 21:57 UTC** (plus a second post 24 Jan 14:25). JIMOTHY: *"Jimothy spotted on the way to Washington D.C."* **23 Jul 2026 15:53 UTC**. DOGGO: a TikTok, first reactions on X at **17 Sep 2026 15:56 UTC**, so the post lands ~15:50 UTC = 22:50 BKK. **✅ PENGUIN `8Jx8AAHj86wbQgUTjGuj6GTTL5Ps3cqxKRTvpaJApump` (Solana, pool 16 Jan 2026, a week before the post). CLAIM CONFIRMED.** - **ATH mcap $171,106,477 at 25 Jan 2026 03:00 BKK**, cross-checked on a second pool at **$168,891,118**. James said $167M. True. - At the post it was **~$16M** (the 4h candle containing the post opened $16.1M, closed $31.8M). It had ALREADY run $3.4M -> $16M in the 36 hours before the White House said anything. - **Post to top: 22 hours. About 10x from the $16M level, 5.4x from the $31.8M candle close.** - **Shape: essentially one continuous go.** Every 4h candle made a higher high from the post to the top. **Deepest pullback inside the run was -56%** (24 Jan 11:00 high $69.0M -> 15:00 low $36.4M), so there WAS a violent shakeout mid-run, but no 80% round trip and no multi-day base. - After the top it gave it all back: **-65% within 24h, -76% within 7 days.** Today $739,412, i.e. **-99.6% from the ATH.** **⚠⚠ JIMOTHY `Ge87EtsjwRQbHaqQmKRno69RFTwh9bfSsm99XNxTpump` (Solana). THE NUMBER IS RIGHT AND THE CAUSATION IS BACKWARDS.** - **ATH mcap $47,091,735 at 23 Jul 2026 05:00 BKK = 22 Jul 22:00 UTC. The White House posted at 23 Jul 15:53 UTC, EIGHTEEN HOURS AFTER the top.** The run from $19M to $47M happened overnight on 22-23 Jul, driven by something else. - At the post it was **~$31M**. The post hour spiked it to **$41.8M on $2.84M of volume** and **failed to make a new high**. Five hours later it was **$18.7M**; $15.7M by 25 Jul; **-89% from the ATH within 7 days**. Today $4.05M. - **So on JIMOTHY the White House post was a 35% pop that round-tripped inside one hour and marked the local top. Anyone buying the post bought the high.** - **STANDING: when a caller says "X ran to $Y after Z", check whether the top PRECEDED Z. Two of these three did not behave the way the story implies, and the ordering is one OHLCV call away.** **DOGGO `0xba527c23903EFf094A987197cCD643f2da76e4Ff` (Robinhood Chain, Pons, pool 11 Sep 2026, six days older than the post). LIVE AS THIS WAS WRITTEN.** - 5-minute candles on the deepest pool `0x170cd83bdb08dc86e24636ce8f37025f5bb72105feee620740556fed746a317d`: **$1,508,588 immediately before the post** -> $2.72M in the post candle (22:50 BKK, volume jumped from $2,755 to $190,982) -> $4.43M at 23:00 -> **dip to $2.85M, a -36% shakeout** -> **$5,659,640 high at 23:30 BKK** -> $4.16M at the time of writing. - **3.7x in 40 minutes, one -36% flush already taken, then -27% off the 40-minute high.** Aggregate liquidity $468,286 across 29 pools, v24 $3.07M, h1 422 buys / 393 sells but **m5 10 buys / 51 sells**. Socials @DancingDoggoRh, thatdancing.dog. - Read against the two precedents: **PENGUIN says the top is ~22 hours out and roughly 10x from the pre-post level (~$15M here); JIMOTHY says the post IS the top.** One of each. No base rate exists in a sample of two, and the one that worked had already 5x'd on its own before the White House touched it. **METHOD NOTE, and it cost a wrong first answer.** GeckoTerminal serves only ~180 candles per call and **hourly candles only reach back about 7 months** (PENGUIN hourly starts 19 Feb, so January is invisible at that resolution). The January path had to be rebuilt from **4-hour candles, which DO reach back to pool creation**, paging with `before_timestamp` off the oldest timestamp in each response. Daily alone gave a $6.6M "ATH" for PENGUIN because the default 180-day window starts after the run. **Always page back to pool creation before quoting an ATH, and check which timeframes actually cover the date in question.** Helper saved at `/home/claude/gtp.py` (`gt`, `page`, `bkk`). - OUTCOME: pending, score in [[screen-log-outcomes-5]] ### 2026-09-18 ~09:12 BKK. TWO / Twofold RE-SCREEN. `0x2A4a33A2163D005d8E7f1D9aC08d14c98db288d5`, Robinhood Chain. Re-screen of an existing position-less name; the prior 4 Sep verdict was also sell/avoid. **VERDICT: NO / avoid for now.** **COVERAGE TIER: ZERO.** **SCREEN-TIME NUMBERS.** Mcap **$254,053**, liquidity **$65,009** (main TWO/WETH pool). **WHY.** **Founder distribution is COMPLETE** — net real selling only **$26,027 over 7 days**, the operator sold **zero**, and the four **29 Aug handout wallets are empty**. **But the 8 Sep switch to USDG rewards pays $200/day against $9.45/day of actual swap fees, so 95% of the yield is an operator subsidy.** **DualPool TVL is only $28,005 after three more weeks and users7d fell from 317 to 50.** **THE THREE FALSIFIERS:** (1) DualPool TVL above **$250,000** with own-pool swap fees above **$100/day**, i.e. rewards at least half self-funded — checkable at `twofold.fi/api/pools` + `/api/rewards`; (2) **users7d back above 200** at `twofold.fi/api/stats`; (3) **dailyUsdg cut and TVL falling with it** would confirm the redesign was rented TVL again. - OUTCOME: pending, score in [[screen-log-outcomes-5]]