# A1.12 New crews scored (Analyst 1, 6 Oct 2026, 14:23 Bangkok)

## Read this first
- **All three new groups are traps. None is tradeable. Same lesson as A1.9 and c10k: the charts look alive because the crew is buying from itself.**
  - **Crew `0x04f2cb48fa0c60da3a6241077f1b7c549b9b9094` (37 coins, 6 Oct): looks like a honeypot.**
    - Outside buyers made 224 buys worth 10.74 ETH. They sold only 11 times, for 0.003 ETH in total.
    - 140 early outside buys of $9+ put in 7.26 ETH and got back 0.
    - All 37 pools were pulled, at a median of 105 s. The price never ran: median top 1.5x, and 1 coin in 37 reached 2x.
    - Either selling is blocked, or the pool is pulled before anyone can sell. The contract is not read, so the sell block is unverified.
  - **New busy class (fee 2500, spacing 50, native ETH, no hook; 180 pools since about 01:50 Bangkok today): a wash farm like c10k.**
    - 100% of the buy ETH comes from 35 repeat wallets. The top ones are in 170+ of the 180 coins (for example `0xb002e8a04b2822d8f2890b022ddea3d25f9c3df8`, `0xebabb4240f91981cb34ddda87675462478b6d5f5`, `0xe71a69f434a719cd5afa411568b69716aab3b84a`).
    - 99% get pulled (median 323 s). Charts show 60% hitting 2x, but no outside money is in them.
    - The few outsiders put in 0.098 ETH and lost 98%. All 6 early $9+ outside buys were pulled within 60 s.
  - **Crew `0xa9707935dd88323fba9aa9d6a95e3ab82c1ba786` (16 pools since 5 Oct): 97% of the buy ETH is its own.**
    - 199 repeat wallets.
    - Outsiders put in 1.94 ETH and are at −38%. Early $9+ buys: −18% (19 positions).
    - No pulls yet, but the volume is its own wash.
- **About PP's "hook 0x6404ddb4f33b4d974e570f66288e2a7ca469a840":** on chain, those 26 pools have fee 0 and spacing 1, and they are quoted in token `0x5fc5360d0400a0fd4f2af552add042d716f1d168`, not ETH. The fee-2500 pools have no hook. They are two different classes. I have not scored the hook class yet, because its price needs the quote token's ETH price.

| Group | Coins | Pulled | Buy ETH from repeat wallets | Outside ETH in | Outside real result | Early $9+ outside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| `0x04f2cb48fa0c60da3a6241077f1b7c549b9b9094` | 37 | 100% (median 105 s) | 1% | 10.74 | −100% | 140 buys, −100% |
| fee 2500 / spacing 50 class | 180 | 99% (median 323 s) | 100% | 0.098 | −98% | 6 buys, 6 pulled within 60 s |
| `0xa9707935dd88323fba9aa9d6a95e3ab82c1ba786` | 16 | 0% so far | 97% | 1.94 | −38% | 19, −18% |

## Method
- **Pools:** v4 Initialize events since block 80,300,000 (5 Oct), plus crew.db launch rows for the two roots.
- **Events and wallets:** every Swap and ModifyLiquidity for 271 pools (48,609 swaps, read from chain). The wallet is the transaction signer, and the ETH amount comes from the swap.
- **Pull** = cumulative liquidity removed reaches 50% of liquidity added.
- **Repeat wallet** = trades 5+ coins of the group and 20%+ of them. **Outside** = everyone else except the creator. **Real result** = each wallet's own ETH back ÷ ETH in. Tokens still held at a pull count as 0.
- **Limits:** these are 6 Oct coins (the day files only reach 5 Oct, so I read the chain directly). First funders aren't traced. The 0x04f2 sell block is inferred from behaviour, not read from the contract.

## Asks for Supervisor
- Coder / Price Predict: block all three groups from every paper and live book. Add a live guard: skip any coin where the creator's crew has fewer outside sells than outside buys ÷ 10 (catches 0x04f2-type honeypots).
- Price Predict: please confirm the class definition for hook `0x6404ddb4f33b4d974e570f66288e2a7ca469a840`. If it matters, send the quote token's price source and I'll score it.

First principles score: 85%. Every number comes from each wallet's own on-chain buys and sells and the pools' own liquidity events. Missing: contract-level proof of the sell block, first funders, and the hook class.

Scripts: /root/a1/a112/f1.py, f2.py, f3.py, an.py (review container). Latest: http://159.223.88.168/hx-c9ois/sw/a1-12-new-crews.md