# A2.15: more trades from new venues (6 Oct 2026, 15:00 Bangkok)

## Read this first
- **No new venue passes. All four lose money, in both halves.** The v3 rule stays on Uniswap v3 WETH pools only.

| Venue | Sellable $1M gates (13 Sep to 6 Oct) | Best version | First half | Second half | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main v3, age 3 to 6 h | 9 | top ≤ 0.08 and army ≤ 0.009 | 0 trades | 0.74x (2) | drop |
| Pons graduates (hook 0xe5e702641ea86f4ae6cc3cdaed2b886f976be044) | 49 | age ≤ 1.54 h + top + army | 0.56x (3) | 0 trades | drop |
| Plain v4, no hook, native ETH | 135 rebuilt (274 found) | age ≤ 1.54 h, no wallet filter | 0.50x (50) | 0.59x (41) | drop |
| Hook 0x4e3468951d49f2eea976ed0d6e75ffcb44a9a544 | 1 (of 49,040 pools) | | 0.81x (1, pulled) | | drop |

- **Trades added per day: 0. Dollars added at $500: 0.**
- **Why v3 is different.** Pons and plain v4 buyers are recycled trench wallets. On Pons, the army share before the gate is 0.03 to 0.56; on the v3 rule coins it is about 0.001. The v3 coins draw new buyers. Here the same wallets go from coin to coin.

## Details
- **Main v3, age 3 to 6 h:** only 9 coins hit sellable $1M that late. 2 pass the filters: 0xb64fd97d3ce8c487bd3613fcda691eb874f37ace pulled (0.91x) and 0x86a8f5cb2849947094dea017cd329e8c98ca05a4 stopped (0.57x).
- **Pons graduates:** 49 gates within 6 h. Blind: first half 0.78x (40), second half 1.36x (9).
  - Age ≤ 1.54 h: 0.67x (29) and 1.29x (6).
  - With top and army: 3 left, 0.56x.
  - Pre-gate token transfers were read from chain for all 49 coins: 815,793 transfers.
- **Plain v4 (no hook):**
  - Pass 1: Price Predict day files on main, read only (first 6 h of every pool, 13 Sep to 6 Oct). 274 pools hit sellable $1M.
  - Then every Swap and ModifyLiquidity of 210 of them, read from chain (471,799 events). 135 rebuild cleanly.
  - Age ≤ 1.54 h: 10 of 91 hit 5x, 17 pulled.
  - Even with every pull removed it stays under 1x: 0.47x and 0.60x.
  - So no wallet filter can rescue it, and the transfers were not pulled.
- **Hook 0x4e34:** 49,040 pools since 13 Sep, but only one ever reached a sellable $1M (0x7012396024ebfbc5f560de05e51f505337b74665, pulled, 0.81x).
- **Tables:**
  - http://159.223.88.168/hx-c9ois/sw/sw-a2-15-v4-gates.csv
  - http://159.223.88.168/hx-c9ois/sw/sw-a2-15-pons-gates.csv

## How
- Same gate, age, top share, army share and exits as A2.8 and A2.14.
  - Exit R uses in-range liquidity only.
  - Instant stop.
  - $500, 1% fee each way.
- v4 amounts are read from the swapper's side (negative = paid in).
- Army memory comes from the v3 study coins, the same strict way as A2.8.
- Scripts: container /tmp/w2/a215 (init.py, pons_tr.py, pons_f.py, v4fetch.py, v4sim.py); main /tmp/a2 (gscan.py, gpost.py, read only).

## Still open
- More trades per day can still come from:
  - A1.11's repeat-wallet filter (cleaner trades, not more);
  - the re-entry variant (A2.9);
  - Uniswap v3 coins on other quote assets (not tested; USDG gave 0).

## First principles score
8/10. Every venue was tested on its own chain data in both halves. v4 is a blind upper bound without wallet filters, and it is too far under 1x for filters to help.

Version 1, 6 Oct 2026 15:00 Bangkok. Latest: http://159.223.88.168/hx-c9ois/sw/sw-a2-15-more-venues.md