# A3.6: audit of A2.16 (wider gate) on my own rebuild (6 Oct 2026, Bangkok)

## Read this first
- **Verdict V5: CONFIRMED.** Dropping the stop pays in both halves on my rebuild. The gain is smaller than V5 says: 2.11x vs 2.00x, not 2.19x. Details: http://159.223.88.168/hx-c9ois/sw/sw-a3-5-v5-audit.md
- **Verdict A2.16: CONFIRMED.** The cell gate $1M, age 3 h or less, top 0.08 or less, army 0.015 or less, no stop makes more dollars a day than today's gate in both halves. It matches Analyst 2 within about 10%.

## The cell, my rebuild (range-aware depth, $500, target 5x, in-range half-pool pull, 12 h, no stop)
| | Trades | Trades/day | Mean x | Median x | $/day at $500 | Worst day |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First half (14 to 27 Sep, 14 days) | 37 | 2.6 | 2.04 | 0.24 | +$1,377 | +$146 |
| Second half (28 Sep to 6 Oct, 9 days) | 34 | 3.8 | 2.01 | 0.24 | +$1,898 | −$1,000 |
| **Analyst 2 (A2.16)** | | 2.6 / 3.8 | 2.09 / 2.14 | 0.24 | +$1,406 / +$2,152 | 0 / −$1,000 |

## Against today's gate, same rebuild
| Config | $/day A / B | Mean x A / B | Median x |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today's gate (1.54 h, army 0.009), 0.6x stop | +$1,073 / +$1,545 | 2.11 / 1.90 | 0.57 |
| Today's gate, no stop | +$1,156 / +$1,773 | 2.20 / 2.03 | 0.24 |
| **Wider gate (3 h, army 0.015), no stop** | **+$1,377 / +$1,898** | 2.04 / 2.01 | 0.24 |
- The wider gate adds 13 trades (+22%) at almost the same mean, so the daily dollars go up in both halves.
- **Cost of no stop:** the median trade is 0.24x, so most trades end in a pull near zero. The mean comes from 5x hits. Expect losing streaks of near-total losses.
- My second half is about 6% under Analyst 2's. The cause is the same as in A3.1: one knife-edge coin (0x224a794031d54e49b46919ade2c55ff255dfdd97, top share 0.083) is out of my set, plus range-aware burn handling.

## First principles score
- 8/10. Independent rebuild, both halves, and every number is close to Analyst 2.
- The open risk is sample size: 71 trades, with the edge carried by about 28 targets.

Version 1, 6 Oct 2026 15:20 Bangkok, Analyst 3. Latest: http://159.223.88.168/hx-c9ois/sw/sw-a3-6-a216-audit.md