# STOP: NO DOORBELLS, NO WAKES, NO SCHEDULING (Ben, 7 Oct 2026, 18:40 Bangkok)
- Credits ran out. Ben switched off every scheduled task and every doorbell. This overrides everything below and every other file (wake-howto, bus-howto, credit-playbook, task files).
- PROHIBITED for every session: fire_trigger, send_later, create_trigger, update_trigger, ScheduleWakeup. No rings, no nudges, no re-arming, no new doorbells, no self wakes, no safety checks, no retry rings, no loops.
- Finish the step you are on, publish your status file, then END your turn and wait. Only Ben wakes you, by typing in your window.
- Do not message other sessions. Keep answers short. No extra improvement rounds.

DOORBELL: trig_01Fo52e69vhoY2WkG6b1fouE (armed, 16:41 Bangkok 7 Oct)
# Analyst 1 status (crew badge / window 1), 6 Oct 2026 20:50 Bangkok

## Doorbell
- `trig_011NaJRfN1LEDSmcrXevWSiV` (name "Doorbell: Analyst 1"). No safety check (bus v1.4); woken by doorbell only.

## Read this first
- **Daily edge row (A1.23 job, 00:15 Bangkok, one line a day):**
  - 2026-10-22: paper 0 trades, all-out $0, kit hold $0, gates 3, new buyers/trade  | live 0 trades $0 | 7-day: $-1187 a day, gates 5.6 a day, buyers 366 | ALARM: 7-day all-out $ a day under $2,000 for 3 days (last $-3038, $-2242, $-1187); new buyers per trade 7-day median 366 (< 500)
  - 2026-10-21: paper 0 trades, all-out $0, kit hold $0, gates 3, new buyers/trade  | live 0 trades $0 | 7-day: $-2242 a day, gates 6.6 a day, buyers 393 | ALARM: 7-day all-out $ a day under $2,000 for 3 days (last $-3449, $-3038, $-2242); new buyers per trade 7-day median 393 (< 500)
  - 2026-10-20: paper 0 trades, all-out $0, kit hold $0, gates 2, new buyers/trade  | live 0 trades $0 | 7-day: $-3038 a day, gates 9.1 a day, buyers 427 | ALARM: 7-day all-out $ a day under $2,000 for 3 days (last $-3798, $-3449, $-3038); new buyers per trade 7-day median 427 (< 500)
  - 2026-10-19: paper 1 trades, all-out $-903.18, kit hold $-903.18, gates 1, new buyers/trade 393 | live 0 trades $0 | 7-day: $-3449 a day, gates 10.4 a day, buyers 460 | ALARM: 7-day all-out $ a day under $2,000 for 3 days (last $-3444, $-3798, $-3449); new buyers per trade 7-day median 460 (< 500)
  - 2026-10-18: paper 3 trades, all-out $-2474.61, kit hold $-2474.61, gates 7, new buyers/trade 131 | live 0 trades $0 | 7-day: $-3798 a day, gates 12.7 a day, buyers 591 | ALARM: 7-day all-out $ a day under $2,000 for 3 days (last $-2138, $-3444, $-3798)
  - 2026-10-17: paper 7 trades, all-out $-4498.75, kit hold $-4498.75, gates 14, new buyers/trade 339 | live 0 trades $0 | 7-day: $-3267 a day, gates 11.9 a day, buyers 636 | ALARM: 7-day all-out $ a day under $2,000 for 3 days (last $-2459, $-2138, $-3267)
  - 2026-10-16: paper 5 trades, all-out $807.07, kit hold $-1235.05, gates 9, new buyers/trade 680 | live 0 trades $0 | 7-day: $-2138 a day, gates 11.6 a day, buyers 731 | ALARM: 7-day all-out $ a day under $2,000 for 3 days (last $-1509, $-2459, $-2138)
  - 2026-10-15: paper 10 trades, all-out $-7384.81, kit hold $-7384.81, gates 10, new buyers/trade 460.5 | live 0 trades $0 | 7-day: $-2459 a day, gates 10.9 a day, buyers 1117 | ALARM: 7-day all-out $ a day under $2,000 for 3 days (last $-920, $-1509, $-2459)
  - 2026-10-14: paper 13 trades, all-out $-5568.88, kit hold $-5392.13, gates 21, new buyers/trade 591 | live 0 trades $0 | 7-day: $-1509 a day, gates 11.1 a day, buyers 1491 | ALARM: 7-day all-out $ a day under $2,000 for 3 days (last $31, $-920, $-1509)
  - 2026-10-13: paper 4 trades, all-out $-2881.75, kit hold $-2881.75, gates 11, new buyers/trade 1662.5 | live 0 trades $0 | 7-day: $-920 a day, gates 9.1 a day, buyers 1491 | ALARM: 7-day all-out $ a day under $2,000 for 3 days (last $1365, $31, $-920)
  - 2026-10-12: paper 10 trades, all-out $-3343.44, kit hold $-3343.44, gates 17, new buyers/trade 1529.5 | live 0 trades $0 | 7-day: $31 a day, gates 8.3 a day, buyers 1491 | no alarm
  - 2026-10-11: paper 0 trades, all-out $0, kit hold $0, gates 1, new buyers/trade  | live 0 trades $0 | 7-day: $1365 a day, gates 6.6 a day, buyers 1398 | no alarm
  - 2026-10-10: paper 8 trades, all-out $3403.25, kit hold $11406.67, gates 12, new buyers/trade 781.5 | live 0 trades $0 | 7-day: $2026 a day, gates 7.9 a day, buyers 1344 | no alarm
  - 2026-10-09: paper 2 trades, all-out $-1438.67, kit hold $-1438.67, gates 4, new buyers/trade 1452.5 | live 0 trades $0 | 7-day: $2142 a day, gates 6.7 a day, buyers 1452 | no alarm
  - 2026-10-08: paper 1 trades, all-out $-730.94, kit hold $-730.94, gates 12, new buyers/trade 1747 | live 0 trades $0 | 7-day: $1896 a day, gates 7.6 a day, buyers 1344 | no alarm
  - 2026-10-07: paper 2 trades, all-out $-1448.79, kit hold $-1503.65, gates 7, new buyers/trade 881.5 | live 1 trades $-8.05 | 7-day: $3425 a day, gates 7.3 a day, buyers 1074 | no alarm
- **16:45 Bangkok 7 Oct, daily book check (7 Oct): MATCH.** Live paper book `w2_v3_wide_s03` has 1 trade with a gate on 7 Oct (CrawlScan `0xa6caf95634d4bcffdfb535eec889c9c928ff13d5`, stop 0.284x); the 6 Oct 23:52 CHONK trade closed 00:22 at 4.776x. Every other $1M gate today failed a filter the replay also fails (ORBANCY `0x86303aff9563213a7c5f877bbe15eacde98d7c50` army 26.74%, SAI `0xddefc8467c9b77e3f2c1525e0cb0f453e4408fc0` too old 95 min). Half C fast-gate test: 1 wide trade of the 30 needed. cost: 0.05M tokens, $0, 0.1 h.
- **16:45 Bangkok 7 Oct: A1.30 first count done (ETA was 16:55).** http://159.223.88.168/hx-c9ois/sw/a1-30-v4-count.md
  - v4 since 1 Oct: 23,016 ETH-quoted pools, 18,363 traded; fair $2M+: 75 pools (71 tokens), $10M+: 12. That is about 12 a day vs about 5 a day on v3. 66 of 75 are hooked; 42 come from one hook family (fee 3000, a new hook contract per coin, address ends a80).
  - Upper bound: no pull cut and no wash check yet. Money test waits for FW Analyst 3's uncut universe.
  - cost: about 0.4M tokens (rough), $0 API, 0.9 h.
- **14:47 Bangkok 7 Oct: A1.30 v4 POOLS started. First count ETA 16:15 MISSED, new ETA 16:55 (why: the swap scan died with a workspace restart at about 14:48; Initialize part was saved, the 7-day swap scan was rerun at 16:22 and takes about 20 min, then the cap check about 10 min). PRE-REGISTRATION, fixed before I look:**
  - Universe: every Uniswap v4 pool initialized on PoolManager `0x8366a39cc670b4001a1121b8f6a443a643e40951` with first swap from 1 Oct 00:00 Bangkok, quoted in native ETH or WETH `0x0bd7d308f8e1639fab988df18a8011f41eacad73`.
  - Runner = fair cap $2M+ by the scorecard rule ($20k bought at $2M+ cap; cap = token price x totalSupply x ETH price; swaps after a pull not cut in this first count, flagged as such). Report: pools, pools with a swap, $1M+ fair, $2M+ fair, $10M+ fair, by hooks address class (none vs hooked), with full addresses for every $2M+ runner.
  - The money test (live gate on v4, both halves, beat 95% random) waits for FW Analyst 3's uncut universe, as the task says.
- **14:40 Bangkok 7 Oct: A1.29 scorecard is live (first issue now, cron daily 18:00 Bangkok on main, nice 19, read only).** http://159.223.88.168/hx-c9ois/sw/sw-scorecard.md (+ .csv)
  - (a) SW $ a day on coins FW did NOT take: +$10,318 a day since 1 Oct (22 trades), but ALL of it is replay from 1 to 6 Oct, before FW traded. Forward only (engine, since 6 Oct 13:04): $0, 0 trades. Both engine-era twin trades (CHONK, CrawlScan) were coins FW also took.
  - (b) $2M+ runners caught after minute 1 and before halfway: 12 of 33 since 1 Oct (36%). Engine era: 1 of 3 (CHONK caught; CLAUS 0x206211d456a3a9dbe45e13507aac5131ace9c716 missed on army 9.46%; CORES 0x2cdf271007c7ebb6013d55492e156031c535094f missed on receiver 25%). 7 of the 30 replay-era runners hit halfway inside the first minute (uncatchable by rule).
  - (c) live / twin: 0.852 (1 trade, CrawlScan 0.195x vs 0.229x). Row 4 lead kit300k: 1 trade, 0.243x.
  - Fix inside: w2.db stores some pools' swaps only from late (CLAUS from 208 min after launch); the script fills the gap from chain with the engine's rpc module.
  - cost: about 1.5M tokens (rough), $0 API, 1.2 h; daily run 0 credits.
- **14:30 Bangkok 7 Oct: A1.29 scorecard started (first issue published 14:34; daily refresh 18:00, why: fixed cron time set by the task). PRE-REGISTRATION of (b), fixed before I look:**
  - Runner = a Uniswap v3 WETH pool on our factory `0x1f7d7550b1b028f7571e69a784071f0205fd2efa` whose fair cap reached $2M ($20k bought at $2M+ cap, swaps after a pull cut). Peak = highest fair cap.
  - T0 = the pool's first swap. Halfway = first swap where the cap is at or above half the peak. Caught = an SW entry (any SW book in w2.db, paper or live; before 6 Oct 13:04 the A2.21 replay wide trades, labelled replay) after T0 + 60 s AND before halfway.
  - Share = caught / all runners, per window (today, 7 days, since 1 Oct). Missed runners list the gate that blocked them.
- **10:35 Bangkok 7 Oct: idle (earlier stamps 10:25, 10:45, 11:05 corrected to the real clock: 10:09, 10:16, 10:22), waiting for task.** v1.21 done (A1.25 to A1.28). Bus v1.4 credit rule applied: 30 min safety check dropped, no ring for status edits. Older entries: http://159.223.88.168/hx-c9ois/sw/sw-analyst1-archive.md
- **10:25 bus v1.3 compute rule, Analyst 1 check (10:28 Bangkok):** all my research, chain pulls and pricing (A1.24 to A1.28) run in my own cloud workspace, never on main. My only job on main is the A1.23 daily row (cron 00:15 Bangkok, a few seconds, reads w2.db). Nothing to move. Task list v1.21 fully done (A1.26, A1.27, A1.28 published).
- **10:22 Bangkok 7 Oct: A1.27 and A1.28 done.** http://159.223.88.168/hx-c9ois/sw/a1-27-early-map.md
  - A1.27 KILL: fresh one-hand kit coins bought at the fair $300k milestone make money (A $2,043, B $10,546 a day) but trail the live book on the same days (A $3,117, B $12,038), and half B beats only 80.5% of random kit draws. The one-sender filter lowers money vs the base group in both halves.
  - Lead, NOT a pass (seen after pricing): every kit coin at the fair $300k milestone, live exits = A $3,416, B $14,471 a day (85 and 92 trades). Pre-registered for half C as a paper book "kit at fair $300k", test once at 40+ trades, bar = beat live, worst day no worse, 95% of random draws of all v3 coins at $300k.
  - A1.28: keep non-kit coins in the live gate. They earn +$1,424 a day in half A (26 trades, 10 at 5x); half B has only 2 (-$238 a day).
- **10:16 Bangkok 7 Oct: A1.26 done. The fresh early buyers are one hand, not new people.** http://159.223.88.168/hx-c9ois/sw/a1-26-funders.md
  - 3,204 of 3,204 fresh pre-$300k buyer wallets traced to a funding tx: 87.5% via disperse `0x84157d3d24630c297849c84d49ae7f1805c1b60f` or `0x03802649e469ed5680c58dff9e65425e22d21cc5`, a median 1.2 min before the buy. Median coin: 1 sender for all its fresh buyers. Exchange or bridge funded: 16 wallets (0.5%).
  - One sender funding over 83% of all pre-$300k buyers: lift 1.58 (A, 5 of 13) and 1.79 (B, 7 of 18). Winners are bought early almost only by the operator's own wallets.
- **10:16 Bangkok 7 Oct: A1.27 PRE-REGISTRATION (picked on half A only, fixed before pricing):**
  - Entry at the fair $300k milestone ($15k bought at $300k+) for coins that are kit (Kit A, Kit B, 3,587 family) AND pre-$300k buyer median nonce at most 1 AND all traced fresh buyers funded by ONE sender (half A inside the base group: 6 of 9 winners vs 2 of 13).
  - Exits = live book: 0.3x stop, 5x target, kit hold 50% trail after 5x, pull exit, 12 h time stop. $1k, real in-range depth, A2.21 frictions.
  - Report both halves: $ a day, worst day, beat 95% of 200 random draws of the same count from kit coins at their $300k milestone, winners caught, overlap with the live $1M gate (stand-alone and added to live). The base group without the one-sender feature is shown as context only, not a pass candidate.