# Virality Expert V6 + V7 on the WIDE trade list (70 trades, $1M gate, age up to 3 h, top 0.08, army 0.015)

## READ THIS FIRST
- **Same picture as on the 58 main trades. No ladder beats "all out at 5x" in the first half. Every hold ladder wins big in the second half.** 69 trades, after removing the empty-pool coin 0x0f526bdc56d1d764bd744412c1aba039c3728b76 (1,000x+ on $2.8k depth).
- **$500:**
  - all out at 5x: 2.25x / 1.88x, $1,612 / $1,620 a day;
  - (b) 50% at 5x + trail: 2.17x / 2.71x, $1,509 / $3,127;
  - **V7 regime rule: 2.16x / 3.45x, $1,491 / $4,500 a day.**
- **$1k:**
  - all out at 5x: 2.19x / 1.83x, $3,068 / $3,054;
  - (b): 2.13x / 2.64x, $2,915 / $6,023;
  - **regime: 2.10x / 3.36x, $2,833 / $8,640 a day.**
- **V7 on the wide list:** the regime rule (hold on a trail if 30%+ of the last 4 days' resolved 5x coins paid more held) is no longer free in the first half.
  - It costs 0.09x there: the regime turned at the very end of the first half, and its first two "hold" calls lost (0.79 and 0.51 of selling).
  - In the second half it adds +1.57x a trade.
  - It beats (b) in both halves (2.16 vs 2.17 is a tie). Overall: −$121 a day in the first half, +$2,880 a day in the second half, at $500.
- **My pick for paper:** run the regime rule next to (b) (`w2_v3_wide_ladder` is already live). If both keep the second-half pattern for a week, the regime rule is the stronger one. Don't change live exits yet.
- **Side task (stops):** my pricer already sells at the swap that crosses the line, priced at that swap's depth, never at the stop line. The three trades the Coder flagged:
  - 0xf5a9da666eb257c0859b47efe8c2cb6745baff94: stop at 0.29x;
  - 0x89262fb9d6b05de797c99a927994f7c2411469d4: exits on a half-pool pull at 0.30x before the 0.3x stop line;
  - 0x2a6efa703d8f1f06da07d1960711f02b1ba66f10: pull at 0.44x.
  - Analyst 2's list shows 0.28x to 0.29x for all three. So the gap vs the 0.57x line is real, and both pricers see it.

## Full tables
    == $500, 69 trades (empty-pool coin removed)
      a all out at 5x                            A 2.25x med 0.81 $/day  +1612 worst   +433 (n36) | B 1.88x med 0.48 $/day  +1620 worst  -1000 (n33)
      b 50% at 5x, rest trail                    A 2.17x med 0.81 $/day  +1509 worst   +809 (n36) | B 2.71x med 0.48 $/day  +3127 worst  -1000 (n33)
      c 1/3 3x, 1/3 5x, 1/3 trail                A 1.93x med 1.88 $/day  +1191 worst   +536 (n36) | B 2.41x med 0.69 $/day  +2577 worst  -1000 (n33)
      d all trail after 3x                       A 2.00x med 1.37 $/day  +1283 worst   +186 (n36) | B 3.60x med 0.69 $/day  +4768 worst  -1000 (n33)
      e 70% at 5x, 30% to pull/48h               A 1.96x med 0.81 $/day  +1240 worst   +427 (n36) | B 2.46x med 0.48 $/day  +2668 worst  -1000 (n33)
      f regime: hold if prior hold share >= 0.3  A 2.16x med 0.81 $/day  +1491 worst   +433 (n36) | B 3.45x med 0.48 $/day  +4500 worst  -1000 (n33)
    == $1000, 69 trades (empty-pool coin removed)
      a all out at 5x                            A 2.19x med 0.80 $/day  +3068 worst   +714 (n36) | B 1.83x med 0.47 $/day  +3054 worst  -2000 (n33)
      b 50% at 5x, rest trail                    A 2.13x med 0.80 $/day  +2915 worst  +1493 (n36) | B 2.64x med 0.47 $/day  +6023 worst  -2000 (n33)
      c 1/3 3x, 1/3 5x, 1/3 trail                A 1.90x med 1.85 $/day  +2306 worst   +974 (n36) | B 2.36x med 0.68 $/day  +4993 worst  -2000 (n33)
      d all trail after 3x                       A 1.94x med 1.34 $/day  +2430 worst   +265 (n36) | B 3.46x med 0.68 $/day  +9019 worst  -2000 (n33)
      e 70% at 5x, 30% to pull/48h               A 1.92x med 0.80 $/day  +2377 worst   +740 (n36) | B 2.40x med 0.47 $/day  +5140 worst  -2000 (n33)
      f regime: hold if prior hold share >= 0.3  A 2.10x med 0.80 $/day  +2833 worst   +714 (n36) | B 3.36x med 0.47 $/day  +8640 worst  -2000 (n33)

## First principles score
- **7 of 10.** Every sell is priced at the live pool depth. The regime signal uses only results known at the time.
- Weak: one regime switch in 23 days, and 26 events at 5x.

Version: v1, 6 Oct 2026, 15:58 Bangkok. Latest version: http://159.223.88.168/hx-c9ois/sw/sw-virality-v6w.md