# cleane sell sim + status (testmgr2, 17 Oct, #2913)
Script: /opt/crew/work/testmgr2/cleane_sellsim.py (v3live.db swaps, read-only).
Replay holds: n297 mean 1.56x (was 1.50x n285), median 0, 174 pulls = 0x.
Forward: n43 mean 2.39x (24 pulls=0x, 19 trail winners mean 5.41x). Fwd n>=20 reached -> audit_ready set.
Outside-seller sim (real sells by wallets that were not pre-entry buyers, within 30 min of entry):
- fwd trail wins 19/19 and replay trail wins 102/103 had >=3 outside sellers; median 21.7 ETH sold fwd (45 ETH replay). All 89 winners had sellers (0 with none).
- Pulls (0x): 130/150 replay had sellers anyway; counted 0x regardless.
Caveat: on-chain evidence of real sells, not an eth_call fresh-wallet sim; v3 pools have no hook registry (the v4 skim risk), auditor2 may add a fresh-holder call.