{"as_of":"2026-10-15","call":{"word":"HOLD BTC","line":"BTC risk is on. Alts have not washed out and turned, so they are not the trade yet."},"held_now":{"BTC":100},"want":{"BTC":100},"dropped":[],"risk":{"on":true,"btc":1116,"ma":1000,"ma_days":100,"dist":11.6,"since":"2026-08-19"},"clock":{"c90":56,"c30":72,"washed_recent":false,"bottom":false,"top_warning":false,"n_alts":64},"baskets":[{"key":"BTC","name":"Bitcoin","members":["BTC"],"vs_btc_30d":null,"ret_30d":8.7,"trend":"up","funding":5.2,"funding_pct":29,"clock90":null,"clock30":null,"weight":100,"shade":"green","word":"RISK ON","why":"BTC is 11.6% above its 100 day average. Risk switched on on 2026-08-19. It flips on at +1% and off at -1%, so a wobble on the line cannot flip it.","checks":[["BTC over its 100 day average, with the 1% band",true]],"spark":[1.0,1.0083,1.0226,1.0221,1.0085,1.038,1.0758,1.0657,1.0633,1.0451,1.0173,1.0254,1.0181,0.9835,0.976,0.8819,0.8066,0.8335,0.8405,0.8685,0.8521,0.8494,0.8287,0.794,0.796,0.8132,0.8408,0.8228,0.843,0.8592,0.8446,0.8621,0.8599,0.864,0.8452,0.8299,0.8466,0.8576,0.8451,0.8386,0.831,0.916,1.0181,1.0376,1.0283,1.0381,1.0735,1.0613,1.0344,1.0209,0.9992,1.0687,1.1442,1.1151,1.116,1.1046,1.1196,1.1302,1.0915,1.0813,1.0863]},{"key":"ETH","name":"Ether","members":["ETH"],"vs_btc_30d":-6.9,"ret_30d":1.8,"trend":"down","funding":4.5,"funding_pct":23,"clock90":null,"clock30":null,"weight":0,"shade":"grey","word":"LAGGING BTC","why":"Single coin, no basket clock. 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Shown for context.","checks":[["the alt market washed out in the last 60 days",false],["alts are beating BTC again (30 day share 40%+)",true]],"spark":[1.0,0.9987,1.0003,0.9846,0.9645,0.9741,1.0349,1.081,1.0945,1.036,0.9912,1.0139,0.9898,0.9569,0.9603,0.8614,0.7386,0.7757,0.7767,0.8274,0.8362,0.8498,0.8091,0.8346,0.8728,0.9371,0.9471,0.9034,0.8912,0.9039,0.8709,0.9037,0.8809,0.8911,0.8553,0.8351,0.8562,0.8553,0.8822,0.8852,0.866,0.9913,1.0891,1.1213,1.2089,1.1964,1.2065,1.2366,1.179,1.1813,1.1247,1.3085,1.3803,1.3587,1.416,1.3712,1.3886,1.4012,1.2671,1.2275,1.2239]},{"key":"MAJORS","name":"Large caps","members":["BNB","XRP","ADA","AVAX","DOT","LINK","TRX","LTC","BCH","ATOM","NEAR","APT","SUI","ICP","FIL","HBAR","XLM","ETC","XTZ","ALGO"],"vs_btc_30d":16.2,"ret_30d":24.9,"trend":"up","funding":4.3,"funding_pct":43,"clock90":65,"clock30":80,"weight":0,"shade":"lightred","word":"EXTENDED","why":"Most members have beaten BTC for three months. Not rolled over yet, so no exit, just no new money.","checks":[["extended: 70%+ of members beat BTC over 90 days",true],["rolled over: under 50% beat BTC over the last 30 days",false]],"spark":[1.0,1.0059,1.016,1.006,0.9843,0.9888,1.0674,1.1012,1.0984,1.0481,1.0153,1.0388,1.023,1.0197,1.0301,0.9568,0.8163,0.844,0.8334,0.8645,0.8621,0.8381,0.8084,0.7757,0.7736,0.7988,0.8428,0.7987,0.8056,0.8129,0.7962,0.8031,0.794,0.8009,0.7538,0.7509,0.7798,0.7683,0.7688,0.7616,0.7503,0.7971,0.9019,0.8667,0.8511,0.8418,0.893,0.9391,0.9402,0.9043,0.8649,1.0005,1.1093,1.1275,1.1806,1.1552,1.157,1.1691,1.1033,1.0779,1.0806]},{"key":"MEMES","name":"Memes","members":["DOGE","SHIB","PEPE","WIF","BONK","FLOKI","MEW","TRUMP","BOME","TURBO","NEIRO","PNUT","GOAT","ACT","PENGU"],"vs_btc_30d":-3.7,"ret_30d":5.0,"trend":"down","funding":9.1,"funding_pct":71,"clock90":27,"clock30":33,"weight":0,"shade":"grey","word":"LAGGING BTC","why":"Nothing has crossed. Shown for context, not a signal.","checks":[["extended: 70%+ of members beat BTC over 90 days",false],["rolled over: under 50% beat BTC over the last 30 days",true]],"spark":[1.0,1.0111,1.0243,1.0245,1.0148,1.0474,1.1204,1.1455,1.1225,1.0652,1.0039,1.0358,0.9684,0.934,0.921,0.8471,0.732,0.7632,0.7664,0.8115,0.7964,0.7755,0.7369,0.7103,0.7455,0.7397,0.7872,0.7181,0.7198,0.7158,0.6914,0.7052,0.6866,0.7344,0.6804,0.6899,0.7021,0.6951,0.7397,0.7005,0.6963,0.7589,0.9415,0.9156,0.9343,0.8849,0.9138,0.9384,0.8679,0.8556,0.8065,0.9164,1.0127,1.0049,1.0197,0.997,0.9988,0.9929,0.9266,0.8669,0.847]},{"key":"AI","name":"AI","members":["FET","RENDER","WLD","GRT","ARKM","VIRTUAL","AIXBT","NMR","PHA","ATH"],"vs_btc_30d":27.6,"ret_30d":36.3,"trend":"up","funding":10.2,"funding_pct":71,"clock90":60,"clock30":90,"weight":0,"shade":"lightred","word":"EXTENDED","why":"Most members have beaten BTC for three months. Not rolled over yet, so no exit, just no new money.","checks":[["extended: 70%+ of members beat BTC over 90 days",true],["rolled over: under 50% beat BTC over the last 30 days",false]],"spark":[1.0,0.9818,1.0003,0.9825,0.9654,1.0109,1.0965,1.1335,1.1078,1.0346,1.0073,1.0481,1.0526,1.1358,1.1267,1.0509,0.9315,0.9521,0.95,1.0156,1.0168,1.0089,0.955,0.8942,0.8737,0.8803,0.9022,0.846,0.8614,0.8628,0.8474,0.8439,0.8225,0.8224,0.7394,0.731,0.75,0.7449,0.7581,0.7446,0.7246,0.7659,0.8628,0.8853,0.8596,0.8546,0.8739,0.9285,0.8965,0.8684,0.8154,0.9428,1.0844,1.1138,1.2954,1.2384,1.2601,1.3123,1.1909,1.1487,1.1118]},{"key":"DEFI","name":"DeFi","members":["UNI","AAVE","CRV","LDO","PENDLE","SNX","COMP","SUSHI","1INCH","DYDX","JUP","RAY","ENA","ETHFI","EIGEN","YFI","UMA"],"vs_btc_30d":10.5,"ret_30d":19.2,"trend":"up","funding":10.0,"funding_pct":56,"clock90":65,"clock30":88,"weight":0,"shade":"lightred","word":"EXTENDED","why":"Most members have beaten BTC for three months. 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